AC Milan battles Tottenham Hotspur Tuesday in the 1st leg of the UEFA Champions League Round of 16. Kickoff from San Siro is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the AC Milan vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
AC Milan finished 2nd in Group E competition. They had 3 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in the group stage, scoring 12 goals and allowing 7. Chelsea finished atop the group. Milan sits 5th in Serie A competition with their leading scorer being Portuguese F Rafael Leao. They have given up just 8 goals in 22 league games.
Tottenham won Group D, ending with 8 goals for and 6 goals against in 6 matches. They won 3 games, lost 1 and drew 2. Tottenham sits 5th in EPL play, having scored 42 goals and allowed 35 in 23 league matches. They are led by English star F Harry Kane, who has scored 17 goals this season.
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AC Milan vs. Tottenham Hotspur odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: AC Milan +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Tottenham +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +225
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +120 | U: -140)
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AC Milan vs. Tottenham Hotspur picks and predictions
Prediction
AC Milan 1, Tottenham 1
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+225).
Tottenham hasn’t been as good as expected this season, and they have drawn 4 of 12 road matches. They also drew 2 of 6 group stage games. AC Milan, on the other hand, drew once in the group stage.
Both teams severely limited opponents as each allowed 1.2 or fewer goals per game in the group stage. Tottenham has been within .5 expected goals of their opponent in 4 of their last 5 games, having played both Man City and Leicester City.
Milan has also played teams closely as of late, having 3 of their last 5 games end within .6 expected goals. Both teams have played up to and down to their competition.
Considering that, back the DRAW (+225) for a small unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-140).
AC Milan averaged 2 goals per game in the group stage games, but they haven’t had similar luck as of late, being held scoreless in 4 of their last 7 games. Milan’s main success came defensively, having allowed 7 goals in 6 games.
Tottenham, while having elite strikers like Kane, scored just 8 goals through the 6 matches. They have scored 1 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 7 games throughout all competitions. Top teams also seem to have difficulty breaking each other down.
Considering how both teams have performed offensively lately, back the UNDER 2.5 (-140).
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