76ers Mavericks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia 76ers (34-25) open a 2-game road trip on Sunday against the Dallas Mavericks (34-26). Tip-off at American Airlines Center is 1 p.m. ET (ABC, ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Mavericks lead 1-0 after 118-102 road win on Feb. 5.

The 76ers have lost 4 of their last 6 games. They snapped a 2-game skid on Friday by beating the Charlotte Hornets 121-114 at home, but failed to cover the 12-point spread as favorites.

The Mavericks have lost 3 of their last 4 games, but are 8-3 in their last 11. They were blown out by the Celtics 138-110 Friday in Boston, failing to cover the 8.5-point spread as underdogs.

76ers at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): 76ers +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Mavericks -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +7.5 (-105) | Mavericks -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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76ers at Mavericks key injuries

76ers

F Robert Covington (knee) out
C Joel Embiid (knee) out
F K.J. Martin (ankle) questionable
G De’Anthony Melton (back) out
F Kelly Oubre Jr. (shoulder) questionable

Mavericks

None to report

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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76ers at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 119, 76ers 105

Moneyline

The Mavericks, who beat the 76ers on Feb. 5 in Philly 118-102 while Embiid was out, have won 4 straight games at home. The Sixers are 5-8 since Embiid got hurt and are 5-12 in their last 17 games.

A full-strength Mavs should beat the Sixers at home, but they aren’t worth the wager at -350.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and 4-2 ATS in their last 6. They have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 wins.

The Sixers have failed to cover the spread in their last 10 losses and are 1-16 ATS in their last 17 losses.

BET MAVERICKS -7.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The last 5 games for Dallas, all since the All-Star break, have had totals higher than 237.

The Sixers’ last 6 games have not surpassed the projected total for this matchup. Before their win on Friday, they scored 104 or fewer points in 5 straight games, failing to reach 100 in 3 of them.

The Mavericks have allowed 129.3 points per game over their last 4 games.

BET UNDER 237.5 (-115).

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Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (32-31) will try to get back on track Thursday night when they host the Philadelphia 76ers (40-21) at American Airlines Center. Tip-off will be at 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The 76ers are playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back after beating the Miami Heat 119-96 on the road Wednesday. They easily covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs, bouncing back from losses to the Boston Celtics (110-107, Saturday) and Miami Heat (101-99, Monday). Philadelphia has now won 6 of its last 8 games.

The Mavericks have struggled since acquiring PG Kyrie Irving, going 3-5 in the 8 games he’s played since the blockbuster trade. Dallas has lost 5 of its last 6 contests and is on a 2-game skid after losing to the Indiana Pacers (124-122, Tuesday) and Los Angeles Lakers (111-108, Sunday) as a favorite.

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76ers at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:38 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): 76ers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Mavericks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +3.5 (-102) | Mavericks -3.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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76ers at Mavericks key injuries

76ers

Not yet submitted

Mavericks

F Davis Bertans (calf) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

76ers at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 114, Mavericks 110

Moneyline

The 76ers are underdogs in this matchup, but that’s primarily because of A) uncertainty around C Joel Embiid‘s availability, and B) the fact that they’re playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road. Those are never easy for a team, but I like Philadelphia more in this one than I do Dallas.

The 76ers are 6-2 on zero days rest, so they’ve fared well in situations like this one. If Embiid is confirmed to be active against the Mavericks, the line will shift further in the 76ers’ favor.

BET 76ERS (+150).

Against the spread

The 76ers have been excellent against the spread in recent weeks, covering in 6 of their last 8 games. The Mavericks, on the other hand, are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games, including 1-2 ATS since the All-Star break.

In addition to going 6-2 SU in the second game of a back-to-back, the Sixers are 6-2 ATS in those same games.

Take the points and BET 76ERS +3.5 (-102) to cover the spread.

Over/Under

The total has gone Under in each of the 76ers’ last 4 games. It’s also gone Under in the Mavericks’ last 5 games against teams with a winning record, which the 76ers have.

When the 76ers are playing on no rest, the total has gone Under in each of the last 5 games. The Mavericks haven’t hit their stride yet with Irving and Philadelphia has been playing well on defense in recent weeks.

BET UNDER 227.5 (-105).

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Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (29-23) host the Philadelphia 76ers (31-20) Friday at American Airlines Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Philly had a 5-game winning streak snapped Tuesday in a 106-103 upset at home versus the Washington Wizards as a 9.5-point favorite. The Sixers are 5-2 straight up (SU) but just 3-4 against the spread (ATS) over their last two weeks.

Dallas lost back-to-back games at the Orlando Magic (110-108 Sunday) and to the Oklahoma City Thunder (120-114 in overtime Wednesday). The Mavs are 3-3 SU/ATS since Jan. 23.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA February 4 breakdown

76ers at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:13 p.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers +100 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mavericks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread: 76ers +1.5 (-110) | Mavericks -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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76ers at Mavericks key injuries

76ers

SG Seth Curry (knee) questionable
SG Furkan Korkmaz (knee) out

Mavericks

C Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
SF Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out

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76ers at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 107, Mavericks 101

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” toward the 76ers (+100) only because I prefer Philly getting 1.5 points. Obviously, I don’t hate betting the Sixers outright, I just always take the points as a rule.

Against the spread

BET 76ERS +1.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Both teams run a lot of half-court offense, but Philly has better offensive and defensive points per play in half-court sets, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Both teams occupy the same space on the floor, but the Sixers are far more efficient. Each attempts a top-10 volume of mid-range field goals, but Philly has the best defensive field-goal percentage versus mid-range shots.

On top of that, Dallas failed to score 100 points in both 76ers-Mavericks meetings last season and Philly has done a terrific job defending Dallas PG Luka Doncic throughout his career.

In four career games against the Sixers, Luka is averaging 21.0 points on just 51.7% true shooting (.375/.292/.744) with a minus-7 net rating. In fact, Philly is 3-0 SU versus Dallas in meetings between its big in C Joel Embiid and Doncic.

Plus, this is a better spot for the Sixers, who are an NBA-best 9-4 ATS as road underdogs with a plus-3.3 ATS margin.

Finally, since the oddsmakers are projecting a single-possession affair, this would be a game to fade Dallas, which is 9-14 SU in “clutch” situations with the worst net rating in the NBA (minus-34.5). “Clutch” is defined by a game within a 5-point margin with five minutes remaining.

BET 76ERS +1.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 210.5 (-115) since there’s notable “reverse line movement” heading south of the total and a couple of location-based O/U trends for each team.

According to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the action is on the Over, but the total has been lowered from the 212.5-point opening number.

Lastly, the Sixers are 3-10 O/U as road underdogs with a minus-7.9 total margin, and the Mavs are 4-13-1 O/U as home favorites with a minus-3.6 total margin.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Philadelphia 76ers (36-17) stop by American Airlines Center Monday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game with the host Dallas Mavericks (29-23). Below, we analyze the 76ers-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Philadelphia has alternated between winning and losing over the last five games with the latest being a 117-93 blowout victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder Saturday. The Sixers are 4-3 straight up and 3-4 against the spread in the past two weeks.

Dallas has also been inconsistent lately, losing two of its last three games, including a 119-117 loss to the San Antonio Spurs Sunday as a 6-point home favorite. Over the past two weeks, the Mavs are 6-2 straight up and ATS with a victory over the first-place Utah Jazz last Monday.

The Sixers broke a three-game losing skid to the Mavs earlier this season by routing them 111-97 Feb. 25, but Dallas was without starting PF Kristaps Porzingis. Also, the Mavs covered the spread in five straight head-to-head matchups prior to the February loss.

76ers at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mavericks +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread/ATS: 76ers -3 (-110) | Mavericks +3 (-110)
Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

76ers at Mavericks: Key injuries

76ers

PG George Hill (thumb) out

Mavericks

PF Maxi Kleber (leg) probable
SG J.J. Redick (heel) questionable
PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) questionable

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76ers at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

76ers 114, Mavericks 108

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” toward the 76ers (-150) but it’s a little out of my price range for an NBA regular-season money line favorite.

As always, wait until as close to tip-off as possible for any important injury news, but as long as Sixers All-Stars Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid play then Philly is the right side.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Simmons has done a masterful job defending Mavs All-Star PG Luka Doncic when they’ve faced each other.

Doncic is averaging just 17.3 points per game on .318/.294/.679 shooting with 6.7 assists and 4.0 turnovers per game in his three career meetings vs. Simmons.

Also, Embiid has significantly outplayed Porzingis in their three meetings; Embiid averages 9.3 more points per game, 6.7 more rebounds per game and is holding Porzingis to 39.6% shooting (28.6% from three).

Finally, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Dallas is 8-10 overall with minus-2.9 points per 100 possessions and a minus-2.4-point ATS margin vs. top-10 teams in net efficiency.

BET 76ERS -3 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 218.5 (-115) for a quarter-unit because the total has been steamed down from the 225.5-point opener due to all the action on the Under.

That’s too much line movement to not fade regardless of what the recent trends say.

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