The Philadelphia 76ers (25-14) visit the Dallas Mavericks (23-15) Saturday at American Airlines Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the 76ers-Mavericks sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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76ers at Mavericks: Key injuries
76ers
- C Joel Embiid (hand) out
Mavericks
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
- PG J.J. Barea (illness) questionable
- SG Ryan Broekhoff (knee) out
76ers at Mavericks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
Prediction
76ers 117, Mavericks 111
Moneyline (ML)
Both teams have been inconsistent recently but the Mavericks (-128) have really been struggling. The 76ERS (+105) are coming off an impressive 109-98 win over the Boston Celtics and the Mavericks have lost three of their last four games, including a 129-114 whooping administered by the Los Angeles Lakers Friday.
The edge in this matchup goes to the 76ers who are 8-3 straight up when having a rest advantage over their opponent. The absence of all-star big man Embiid doesn’t have to be a bad thing for the short term. Look for more spacing in the 76ers offense and freedom for Ben Simmons to create offense for his teammates. Also, the 76ers’ 16th-ranked offense in points per game should have an easier time against a Mavericks defense ranked 15th in PPG allowed but missing their defensive anchor in Porzingis.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The ATS advantage goes to the 76ERS (+2.5, -125) in this game because they are 4-2-1 ATS in games they are getting 1-2.5 points, whereas the Mavericks are 1-3 ATS when favored by the same amount. Since 2016, the 76ers have the second-best against the spread record versus non-conference opponents at 59-41-4. Also, the Mavericks underperform ATS at home (7-13-1), and they are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
I am not in love with the value but LEAN 76ERS +2.5 (-125) for a little bit of insurance.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the OVER 222.5 (+105). The Mavericks have the second most Overs in the NBA (24-14 Over/Under record) and a 13-8 Over/Under record in Dallas. They also have a very potent offense—Dallas ranks third in points per game and first in offensive rating—but as discussed earlier is missing the heart of its interior defense and gives up the most fast-break points in the NBA. Furthermore, four of the last five Mavericks games went Over the total and the Over has cashed in the last four 76ers-Mavericks game.
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