Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia 76ers (42-35) travel to face the Memphis Grizzlies (27-50) Saturday. Tip-off from FedEx Forum is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Grizzlies odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Memphis leads 1-0 with a 115-109 road win March 6

Philly picked up a 109-105 win at the Miami Heat Thursday, covering as a 2.5-point underdog. C Joel Embiid and G Tyrese Maxey combined for 66 points in the win, Maxey also added 11 assists. The Sixers have won 3 consecutive games.

Memphis routed the Detroit Pistons 108-90 Friday, covering as a 1.5-point road underdog. The Grizzlies also have won 3 consecutive games. Memphis out-rebounded Detroit 49-38, while holding the Pistons to 26.7% shooting from deep (8-for-30).

76ers at Grizzlies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): 76ers -900 (bet $900 to win $100) | Grizzlies +575 (bet $100 to win $575)
  • Against the spread (ATS): 76ers -11.5 (-115) | Grizzlies +11.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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76ers at Grizzlies key injuries

76ers

  • Mo Bamba (illness) questionable
  • Joel Embiid (knee) questionable
  • F Tobias Harris (knee) questionable
  • Tyrese Maxey (hip) questionable
  • G De’Anthony Melton (back) out

Grizzlies

Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game

  • F Santi Aldama (foot) out
  • G Desmond Bane (back) out
  • F Brandon Clarke (Achilles) out
  • F Jaren Jackson Jr. (quadriceps) out
  • G Luke Kennard (knee) out
  • G John Konchar (heel) out
  • Ja Morant (shoulder) out
  • G Derrick Rose (groin, back) out
  • Marcus Smart (finger) out
  • G Vince Williams Jr. (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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76ers at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 112, Grizzlies 102

Moneyline

PASS. 

Philly should come away with the win, but the 76ers are not worth the risk of betting on as -900 favorites. Bet on the spread and/or Over/Under instead.

Against the spread

LEAN GRIZZLIES +11.5 (-105).

Memphis has covered the spread in each of its last 3 games and is 6-4 ATS in its last 10 outings. The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 2 of their last 3 matchups with Philadelphia and are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 matchups dating back to January 2021.

This is a lean because the 76ers have been a very good team ATS lately, covering their last 5 games. Plus, the Grizzlies are phoning it in to end the season and the 76ers have been the better team ATS this season at 43-33-1 vs. the Grizzlies’ 38-39 ATS record.

Over/Under

BET OVER 209.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games and is 39-36-2 for the Sixers this season.

For Memphis, the Over is 6-4 in its last 10 games overall and is 3-1 in its last 4 home games. The Over has also hit in 4 of the last 5 Philly-Memphis matchups and is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (12-10) take a trip down South to visit the Memphis Grizzlies (12-9) in Friday night NBA action. Tip-off from FedEx Forum is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The 76ers are coming off a 113-85 blowout loss Wednesday night against the Cavaliers. The team shot a terrible 23.1% from deep and 41.6% from the field, both numbers that will need to increase drastically if they want to win big games.

The Grizzlies are also coming off a 109-101 loss vs. the Timberwolves Wednesday night. With 24 turnovers, which was double that of the Timberwolves, they dug themselves in a big hole in the turnover battle. If the Timberwolves had not been shooting so poorly themselves this game would’ve been a blowout win for them.

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76ers at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): 76ers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Grizzlies -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +4.5 (+100) | Grizzlies -4.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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76ers at Grizzlies key injuries

76ers

  • James Harden (foot) out
  • Tobias Harris (illness) questionable
  • Tyrese Maxey (foot) out

Grizzlies

  • Desmond Bane (toe) out
  • Danny Green (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

76ers at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 115, 76ers 110

Moneyline

PASS.

The Grizzlies should win this game with all the injuries that are still plaguing many of the 76ers’ stars. However, we’re not going to throw down on a regular season -200 juice box.

Against the spread

LEAN GRIZZLIES -4.5 (-120).

The Grizzlies should be able to pull away with a win here, especially with two of the three best offensive options in Harden and Maxey out for the 76ers.

Over/Under

BET OVER 217.5 (-110).

Normally for this bet I would lean towards the Under because of the 76ers phenomenal defense and horrifically bad offense, but the line of 217.5 is outrageously low for an NBA game with as much talent on both sides as this one. Even with injuries both of these teams have so much scoring potential that I could not advise you to bet the Under in this matchup.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (16-11) host the Philadelphia 76ers (15-12) Monday for an 8 p.m. ET game at the FedExForum. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Philly upset the Golden State Warriors 102-93 Saturday as a 3-point home underdog. The Sixers are 5-2 straight-up (SU), 3-4 against the spread (ATS) and 1-5-1 Over/Under (O/U) with the 14th-ranked non-garbage time-efficiency differential over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Since PG Ja Morant has been sidelined with a knee injury (starting Nov. 28), Memphis is 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the best non-garbage time-efficiency differential. The Grizzlies are coming off back-to-back wins vs. the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers.

76ers at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:02 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: 76ers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Grizzlies +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread (ATS): 76ers -3.5 (-108) | Grizzlies +3.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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76ers at Grizzlies key injuries

76ers

  • None

Grizzlies

  • Steven Adams (ankle) doubtful
  • PF Brandon Clarke (knee) out
  • PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) questionable
  • PG Ja Morant (knee) out

76ers at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 115, Grizzlies 102

Money line

PASS since Philly is obviously the right side in this one, but the 76ers (-155) is a little out of my price range for an NBA regular-season favorite.

However, I wouldn’t rule out parlaying Philly’s money line with perhaps the Cleveland Cavaliers’ money line (-220 vs.  Miami Heat) for a much better payout.

Against the spread

BET 76ERS -3.5 (-108) because the Grizzlies +3.5 may be without three starters and the possible absence of Adams would most likely lead to Philly big Joel Embiid completely owning the interior.

Jackson grades in the 97th percentile of bigs in on/off-efficiency differential and Adams grades in the 81st percentile, according to CTG. Adams’ absence would significantly hurt Memphis’s team rebounding, which has been a weakness for Philly despite having two quality rebounding bigs.

Also, the market could be overrating the Grizzlies based on recent results vs. poor teams. Memphis has held down the fort without Morant, but it’s fair to question who the Grizzlies have played.

Memphis’s defensive efficiency has been awesome since Morant has been out, but it has only played one team ranked in the top half of the NBA in offensive rating (Miami). But the Heat’s non-garbage time-offensive efficiency ranks just 19th over the past two weeks.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 210.5 (-112) for a small wager because Memphis pushes the pace of this game since getting hot from behind the arc is the Grizzlies’ best path to victory.

Memphis plays the third-highest rate of transition offense, and Philly’s defense has the second-worst efficiency vs. transition offense. It would make more sense for the Sixers to grind the game out. But since the Grizzlies are outmanned, I could see Philly playing with their food here.

Plus, I see value in bucking the recent Under-heavy trends such as the Under cashing in Memphis’s past four games as an underdog and the Under being 5-1-1 in Philly’s past seven games.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Philadelphia 76ers (9-4) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (5-6) Saturday at the FedExForum for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the 76ers-Grizzlies NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Philadelphia won back-to-back games over a COVID-depleted Miami Heat team coming into Saturday. 76ers C Joel Embiid went off for 45 points and 16 rebounds in the first game vs. the Heat Jan. 12 but struggled in the next game, scoring just 9 points. Unfortunately for Philadelphia, Embiid—who is the 76ers’ leading scorer and rebounder—will miss at least the next two games with knee pain.

The Grizzlies hope to be getting back last season’s Rookie of the Year PG Ja Morant from a sprained ankle that forced Morant to miss seven games. Memphis was 1-3 (2-2 against the spread) in its first four without Morant but have won and covered three straight before this game.

The 76ers boat raced the Grizzlies 119-107 in their lone meeting last season, and Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in the past seven vs. Memphis.

76ers at Grizzlies: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: 76ers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Grizzlies +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: 76ers -3.5 (-105) | Grizzlies +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

76ers at Grizzlies: Key Injuries

76ers

  • PG Ben Simmons (knee) probable
  • C Joel Embiid (knee) out
  • SG Seth Curry (COVID-19) out
  • PF Mike Scott (knee) out

Grizzlies

  • PG Ja Morant (ankle) questionable
  • PF Jaren Jackson (knee) out
  • SF Justise Winslow (hip) out

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76ers at Grizzlies: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 107, 76ers 101

Money line (ML)

The Grizzlies have low-key played some of the best defense in the league to start the season. Memphis ranks fifth in defensive rating, ninth in effective field-goal percentage and seventh in defensive turnover percentage.

Philadelphia’s offense isn’t very scary now that Embiid is joining Curry on the sidelines. Ben Simmons still has enough to work with to get the 76ers by, but I lean GRIZZLIES (+125) for a half-unit because I like Memphis to cover.

Against the spread (ATS)

The 76ers have been a terrible bet as a road favorite since 2019: 6-14-1 ATS with a minus-5.8-point ATS margin. Also, Memphis just does the little things better than Philadelphia; the Grizzlies average more points off of turnovers, points in the paint, fast break points and second-chance points per game than the 76ers.

Memphis even holds opponents to fewer points per game in three of those categories and the only one they don’t (opponent’s points in the paint), Philadelphia has a reduced edge in since Embiid is out.

GIMME GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-115) for 1.5 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS ON THE TOTAL. Morant’s return will help the Grizzlies’ offense in the long run, but let’s wait and see before we start betting on that. Second, both these teams like to get out in transition – so that could equal easy points either way. Finally, Philadelphia’s offense plus Memphis’ defense screams “Under”, but it’s rather too obvious.

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