Through 4 games, how good are the Commanders?

A look at the numbers explain the Commanders’ fast start.

How good are the Washington Commanders through four games?

No NFL analyst or Commander fan saw this team post the numbers it has in the first four weeks.

  • The Commanders lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns with 10. When they get in the red zone, they effectively run the ball via their running backs and quarterback. It is harder to defend 11 than to defend 10.
  • The Commanders are fifth, averaging 5.1 yards per rushing attempt. What a startling contrast to last year’s team, rushing the ball.
  • Who would have thought the Commanders would be averaging 169.3 rushing yards a game, third best in the league?
  • The passing completion percentage is the best in the NFL at 82.1. Of course, it will be coming down, but no one else is this efficient through four games.
  • 8.5 yards per passing attempt is good for third overall in the league.
  • Jayden Daniels’s passer rating of 107.4 is fourth-highest in the NFL.
  • Net yards gained per passing attempt, the Commanders are tied for third at 7.4.
  • 30.3 points scored per game? Who saw that coming?  (3rd highest)
  • Commanders are tops in the NFL in 3rd Down conversion percentage 53.5% and 4th Down conversions at 100%

YES, these numbers are also just as true:

  • 6.2 yards allowed per play, 31st in the NFL
  • Passing touchdowns surrendered (10) dead last in the NFL
  • Net yards allowed per passing attempt (7.0) 28th
  • First downs allowed (87) 27th
  • Passing first downs allowed (49) 26th
  • Rushing yards allowed per attempt (5.3) 31st
  • Percentage of drives ending in scores allowed (56.3) 32nd
  • Only 8 QB sacks, tied for 25th
  • QB Hurries 14 (15th)
  • Completion Percentage Allowed (72.0) 27th
  • Passer Rating Allowed (123.3) 32nd
  • Points Allowed per game (25.5) 25th
  • 3rd Down Conversion percentage allowed (54.8%) 32nd
  • 4th Down Conversion percentage (66.7) 27th

Final Considerations:

  • 6 NFC teams have three wins, 4 in the AFC.
  • Each of the three Commanders wins are against team that still only has one win (Bengals, Giants, Cardinals).
  • The Week 5 opponent (Browns) is another one-win team.

 

 

Where does USA Today predict the Commanders in 2024?

USA Today predicts the Commanders’ record in 2024.

As NFL teams are beginning their training camps, writers are offering their predictions for the 2024 season standings.

How many games will the Commanders win? Where will they finish in the NFC East? Nate Davis of USA Today takes the time to predict all 32 teams’ records, ensuring the total number of wins in the NFL is accurate at 272.

If you are wondering, each team will play 17 games, and there will be 16 winners and 16 losers of all games played unless there are ties in 2024. Thus, Davis at least has done his homework to accurately have 272 games being won during the season.

Davis does have the Commanders improving from their dreadful 4-13 2023 season. Here is what Davis had to say in his prediction of the Commanders.

Washington Commanders (7-10): New front office, new coach (Dan Quinn), new locker room leaders, including first-round QB Jayden Daniels, and just a generally growing good-feels vibe as this organization continues moving beyond its former regime. Though the bottom fell out on the field last year, it seems like Washington should get back to the seven- or eight-win plateau where it’s hovered for the better part of a decade. But it feels like the Commanders are actually charting a positive course this time rather than treading water – and don’t be surprised if they struggle early and finish strong, which would seem to align with their schedule and the familiar arc of many rookie passers.

Interestingly enough, Davis foresees the NFC East as a division that somewhat falls back this season. He has the Giants as one of the lower-tier teams, only finishing 4-13 (see Washington in 2023 for how bad that was). The Cowboys are going to experience a substantial fall as well. Such a fall, in fact, that Dallas will not have a winning season, finishing 8-9.

Only the Eagles in the division will accomplish a winning season, with a regular season record of 10-7. Of course, that would not be overly impressive for the Eagles, who won the division and NFC championship and gave the Chiefs a great Super Bowl to conclude the 2022 season.

Here is the link for those who might be interested in seeing how Davis sees the entire league panning out in 2024.