To kick off the month of June, the PGA Tour will be in Ohio for the 2022 Memorial Tournament, which is hosted by Muirfield Village. The course was designed by Jack Nicklaus and always makes for a fun week from a star-studded field.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 Memorial Tournament odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Jon Rahm won the Memorial in 2020 and likely would’ve gone on to defend his title last year if not for a positive COVID-19 test, which forced him to withdraw before the final round with a 6-shot lead. He’s the No. 1 player in this week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings.
The next-highest-ranked player in the field is Viktor Hovland, who’s 4th in Golfweek’s rankings. Rory McIlroy (5th), Hideki Matsuyama (6th), Patrick Cantlay (7th), Cameron Smith (8th) and Shane Lowry (9th) are also in the field. Cantlay is the defending champion, and also claimed the title at Muirfield in 2019.
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2022 Memorial Tournament – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:41 p.m. ET.
Rory McIlroy (+280)
McIlroy hasn’t finished outside the top 8 in any of his last 3 starts, with a pair of top-5s. He’s found a rhythm now and while he still usually has 1 round that sinks his week, he’s a great fit at Muirfield where his driver will be a weapon off the tee that gives him a big advantage.
Patrick Cantlay (+320)
Cantlay has won this event twice in the last 3 years and also came in 4th in 2018. So yes, he loves Jack’s place. He shockingly missed the cut in his last start at the PGA Championship but in his previous 2 events, he came in 1st and 2nd. I love his odds to finish top-5.
Xander Schauffele (+425)
Schauffele has gone T-14, T-13 and T-11 in his last 3 starts at the Memorial Tournament, so he’s been getting progressively better. He also has 2 top-5s in his last 3 starts this season, including a win with Cantlay at the Zurich Classic. He comes into this week in good form.
Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):
- Cameron Young (+750)
- Shane Lowry (+500)
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2022 Memorial Tournament – Top-10 picks
Jordan Spieth (+210)
Spieth has 5 top-20 finishes in his last 7 starts at the Memorial Tournament, including 2 top-10s. His putter has betrayed him in recent weeks but his ball-striking is plenty good enough to contend at Muirfield. I like his chances to finish near the top again.
Davis Riley (+450)
Riley is making his first start at this tournament but very few people in the world are playing better than him right now. Here are his last 5 starts: T-4, 5, T-9, T-13, T-4. He doesn’t dominate one single category, but he’s decently accurate off the tee, hits it long enough and putts better than average.
Patrick Reed (+480)
Reed had a tough stretch earlier this year when he missed 3 straight cuts, but he’s righted the ship a little bit, finishing T-7 last week in Texas. He’s never missed the cut at the Memorial Tournament and finished 5th last year, so now is a good time to buy low on Reed as he comes to a course that fits him well.
Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):
- Max Homa (+350)
2022 Memorial Tournament – Top-20 picks
Rickie Fowler (+300)
It’s good to see Fowler playing at least somewhat well lately, with 2 top-25s in his last 3 starts. Since 2017, he’s come in the top-15 four times at this tournament and missed the cut once, so he clearly likes playing Muirfield, and this could be the week he finally notches his 2nd top-10 of the season.
Chris Kirk (+230)
Kirk already has one top-5 finish here (2014) and tied for 26th last year, so his track record at the Memorial is better than average. His last 2 starts resulted in T-5 and T-15 finishes at the PGA Championship and Charles Schwab Challenge, and he fell way down the leaderboard on Sunday with a final-round 74. He’s playing well right now.
2022 Memorial Tournament – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
- Patrick Cantlay (-135) vs. Collin Morikawa (+115)
- Shane Lowry (-110) vs. Matthew Fitzpatrick (-110)
- Davis Riley (+100) vs. Mito Pereira (-120)
It’s really easy to like Cantlay in any matchup this week, given his history at this event. Morikawa’s putter has failed him lately, too, which doesn’t bode well coming into this week.
Lowry tied for 6th here last year, is playing well and in a coinflip with Fitzpatrick, I like the Irishman’s odds.
Pereira responded nicely after heartbreak at the PGA by tying for 7th last week, but Riley at plus-money is a great value against a player who could be in for a step back this week.
2022 Memorial Tournament – Top American
Xander Schauffele (+1000)
Schauffele has the second-best odds of any American, and you’re essentially getting him to win the tournament without the likes of Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Shane Lowry and Hideki Matsuyama. It’s a tough group of Americans to beat, but Schauffele is steady as it goes.
2022 Memorial Tournament – Top Australian
Cameron Smith (+200)
Adam Scott, Marc Leishman and Jason Day are Smith’s top competitors among the Australians in the field, but none of them possess the talent and ability to go really low like Smith.
2022 Memorial Tournament – First-round leader
Jordan Spieth (+3000)
Spieth had the second-lowest score of the opening round in 2019 when he fired a 66. He was also near the top with a first-round 70 in 2020. If his putter heats up, he can pour in the birdies on Thursday.
Patrick Cantlay (+3000)
Cantlay opened with a 68 and 69 in his 2 wins at the Memorial, so it’s not as if he began the week with a really low score. But he’s the type of player who can rack up the birdies thanks to his consistent putting. He should be up there after the first round on Thursday.
More expert prop bet predictions
Will there be a playoff? Yes: (+300)
This is a major-like field with a lot of talent, and the final winning margin isn’t usually more than 2 shots. Five of the last 8 Memorial Tournaments have ended in a playoff. It’ll come down to the wire and we’ll get a playoff for the 3rd straight week.
Top English: Matthew Fitzpatrick (-150)
At -150, it’s pretty obvious that there isn’t a lot of strong contenders coming from the field of Englishmen this week. Aaron Rai has the second-best odds at +400, but Fitzpatrick shouldn’t have much trouble finishing as the top player from England this week.
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Golfweek:
- 2022 Memorial Tournament odds, field notes, best bets and picks
- NCAA Championship: Match play field, pairings set for 2022 men’s quarterfinals
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