The PGA Tour is back in Minnesota this week for the 3M Open, which will be played at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn. It’s the 4th year of this event, which joined the PGA Tour schedule in 2019. Cameron Champ won this event last year and will be in the field to defend his title
Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 3M Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
It’s a somewhat weaker field this week, which is to be expected considering we’re only days removed from the Open Championship in Scotland. However, several players who teed it up at St. Andrews will be playing this week in Minnesota, including Tony Finau and Hideki Matsuyama.
Matsuyama is the highest-ranked player in the field in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, coming in at No. 8. Finau ranks 32nd while Maverick McNealy (No. 26) and Sungjae Im (No. 22) are also among the favorites.
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3M Open – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:27 p.m. ET.
Davis Riley (+550)
Riley has been one of the best ball-strikers on tour this season, ranking 50th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-green. It hasn’t translated to a win yet, but he does have a 2nd-place finish and 5 other top-10s, including 3 top-5s. In a field that’s lacking some firepower, I like Riley’s odds to notch another top-5.
Sahith Theegala (+550)
Theegala has knocked on the door of his 1st win a few times already in his rookie year, finishing 2nd, 3rd and 5th. He’s been playing some of his best golf lately, making 8 straight cuts and finishing no worse than T-34 in his last 3 starts.
J.T. Poston (+900)
Poston has a win and a 2nd-place finish this year, putting together a solid season. He also tied for 28th in this event last year, his 1st appearance in the 3M Open. I like the way he’s been trending and would take him to finish in the top 5 this week on a course that won’t hurt his lack of length too badly.
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3M Open – Top-10 picks
Chris Gotterup (+425)
Gotterup’s length isn’t a question, but his accuracy off the tee can be. Already notching 2 top-10s this season, Gotterup could grab another this week if he can keep the ball in the fairway. He tied for 4th at the John Deere Classic 2 weeks ago.
Cameron Davis (+280)
Davis missed the cut in his 1stt start here, but he’s gone T-12 and T-28 in the 2 years since. Very quietly, he’s put together a solid last 2 months of play, making 6 straight cuts with 3 top-10s, including his last 2 starts at the John Deere Classic and Barracuda Championship.
3M Open – Top-20 picks
Brice Garnett (+400)
If you look at Garnett’s recent results, you might get scared off. He missed the cut in 4 straight tournaments before finishing T-16 last week, and has only made the cut 3 times in his last 11 starts. But this is a good time to buy low heading into an event he’s had success in. In 3 starts at the 3M Open, he’s gone T-23, T-26 and T-16.
Maverick McNealy (+125)
This is a safer play for a guy who’s performed well in recent weeks, finishing no worse than T-16 in his last 3 starts. In his 3M Open debut last year, he tied for 16th, so he didn’t have a lot of trouble with the track at TPC Twin Cities.
3M Open – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
- Hideki Matsuyama (-120) vs. Sungjae Im (+100)
- J.T. Poston (-110) vs. Martin Laird (-110)
I admittedly don’t love many of the matchups this week, but two stand out to me. Im has been struggling lately and hasn’t been playing a lot, either, missing the cut at the U.S. Open and Genesis Scottish Open before finishing T-81 at the Open Championship. He was playing well prior to this recent stretch, but I like the form Matsuyama is in more.
Matsuyama also finished T-7 in his only 3M Open appearance in 2019. Im was T-15 that year, his only time playing the 3M Open.
3M Open – First-round leader
Tony Finau (+3000)
Finau had a good week at the Open, and though he’s the favorite this week at the 3M Open, I don’t like his outright odds (+1200) enough to bet him to win. I’d rather take a shot on him leading after Round 1 at +3000, which is a far better value.
Cameron Champ (+6000)
Champ didn’t have one exceptionally low round when he won this event last year, but he did go 69-67-67-66, so he improved as the week went on. I don’t know if he can hold up for 3 rounds again, but his power makes him a candidate to go low on Thursday and take the 1st-round lead.
More expert prop bet predictions
Group A winner: Sahith Theegala (+400)
Theegala is tied for the longest odds in this group, which features Finau (+250), Matsuyama (+320), Im (+350) and Adam Hadwin (+400). I don’t know if Theegala is going to win this week, but you can play it a little bit safer by taking him to win the group of the top favorites.
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Golfweek:
- 2022 3M Open odds, field notes, best bets and picks to win
- Speculation centers on Cameron Smith, three former Masters champions jumping to LIV Golf
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