The NASCAR Cup Series heads to the Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Quaker State 400 presented by Walmart Sunday for a green flag at approximately 3:35 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Quaker State 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.
Penske Racing’s Ryan Blaney picked up the victory in the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 in March in the first stop in Atlanta. Ford has been the dominant manufacturer in Atlanta, picking up the checkered flag in five consecutive Cup races.
2021 Quaker State 400: What you need to know
- Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott, native of nearby Dawsonville, Ga., is on the pole. He hasn’t fared terribly well on what is his home track, going for no wins or top-5 finishes in his past four Cup starts in Atlanta with an Average-Finish Position (AFP) of 18.75.
- Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson has burned up the track in Atlanta in his seven-career Cup starts. He hasn’t won, but he has two top-5 runs, four top-10 showings and a 12.14 AFP while leading 418 laps. He will go off sixth Sunday.
- Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch has managed two wins with seven top-5 showings and 10 top-10 runs in 23 career Cup starts while turning in a 13.5 AFP. He starts on the outside of Row 1 Sunday.
- Kurt Busch and Kevin Harvick have the most active wins in the Cup Series at Atlanta, taking the checkered flag three times each.
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Who is going to win the 2021 Quaker State 400?
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.
KYLE LARSON (+225) is the chalk for Sunday’s race, and it isn’t even close. KYLE BUSCH (+750) has the next best odds, making Larson the overwhelming favorite. While he very much could win, where’s the value there?
I’d much rather play Busch or CHASE ELLIOTT (+800) for a much better payday. Sooner or later Larson has to cool off.
The defending champ RYAN BLANEY (+1000) is a pretty strong play, too. He just won on the track in late March, and he has two top-5 finishes with 68 laps led and a tremendous 13.67 AFP in his six career Cup runs. That’s third-best among all active drivers.
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KEVIN HARVICK (+900) has some rather long odds based on his history at the track, and he shouldn’t be forgotten about. He also leads all drivers with 1,348 laps led in his 31 career Cup starts.
The next closest driver is Kurt Busch with 804 laps led. That experience has to count for something, even though Harvick’s season hasn’t exactly gone according to plan.
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