Matchup notes for the NFL’s divisional round

Doug Farrar and Mark Schofield with their podcast rundown notes for the NFL’s divisional round.

Every week, Doug Farrar and Mark Schofield put together a rundown for the Touchdown Wire Matchup Preview Podcast, based on their tape observations, and filled with advanced metrics from Pro Football Focus, Sports Info Solutions, and Football Outsiders.

You can listen to the podcast from the link below, and we hope you find the rundown notes interesting as you get ready for the divisional round of the playoffs!

The Touchdown Wire Divisional Round Preview Podcast with Doug Farrar and Mark Schofield

Anatomy of a Divisional Round Win: Buccaneers need to eliminate Devin White’s reverse gear

If the Buccaneers want to get off the schnied against the Saints in the divisional round, Devin White as a pass-rusher will be crucial.

If you want to play linebacker in the modern NFL, you’d better be versatile. The days of the Mike Singletary-style ‘backer who stayed in the middle and just crashed forward to stop the run are over in an era when teams on average play base defense less than 20% of the time, and dime defense more than 20% of the time. Now, the best linebackers can do everything from blowing up run fits to playing the slot credibly to rushing the passer from multiple gaps. Anything less that, and you’re a liability — and that will show up in your snap counts.

That said, there are times when even the best linebackers should have their roles reduced from a variety perspective. Devin White, the second-year star for the Buccaneers, has the most sacks among off-the-ball ‘backers with nine, the second-most total pressures with 31, the fifth-most stops with 56, and the ninth-most tackles with 95.

(Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports)

That’s the good side. The bad side? Per Pro Football Focus, White has the most targets in coverage among off-ball ‘backers with 98, and he’s allowed the most catches (86) for the most receiving yards (761), the second-most yards after catch (410), the second-most touchdowns allowed (four, tied with several other linebackers), and an opponent passer rating of 112.6. If White has an absolute dominant trait to his game, it’s his knack for creating quarterback pressure. If there’s an obvious liability, it’s White’s ability to hold up in coverage. That may change over time given White’s eagerness to improve, game intelligence, and physical gifts, but we are where we are with this.

The All-22: How every divisional round team can advance to the conference championships

Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Mark Schofield detail how every divisional round team can advance to the conference championships.

Styles make fights, and styles make NFL winners. In the divisional playoffs in the 2020 NFL season, there are eight teams looking to advance to the conference championships, and schemes will make the difference in every matchup. Here, per Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Mark Schofield, are how each of the divisional round teams can advance to the conference championships.

Here are the scheduled games:

Saturday, January 16: Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers, 4:35 p.m. ET

Saturday, January 16: Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills, 8:15 p.m. ET

Sunday, January 17: Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs, 3:05 p.m. ET

Sunday, January 17: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints, 6:40 p.m. ET

And here are the All-22 schematic breakdowns detailing how each game may go.