The biggest football and sports betting event of the year is this Sunday, as the San Francisco 49ers prepare to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV in Miami. The Chiefs are 1.5-point favorites to win in their first Super Bowl since the 1969 season. Below, we break down why you should bet on the Chiefs (-121 at BetMGM) to win Super Bowl LIV.
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Chiefs are on a roll
No one is hotter than the Chiefs. The last time they lost was Nov. 10, in QB Patrick Mahomes‘ first start back from injury. They have since won eight straight games, including two AFC playoff matchups. Six of those wins were by double digits and all came by at least six points.
Mahomes is just too good
We saw San Francisco struggle to put away the five-win Arizona Cardinals and rookie QB Kyler Murray twice in the regular season. Mahomes is a more polished and far more accomplished version of Murray.
In two full seasons as a starter in the NFL, he has 76 touchdown passes and only 17 interceptions. He had just five interceptions this past season.
The 49ers were great against the pass. It won’t matter for Mahomes. If he can’t make a play with his arm, he will make it with his legs.
Improved run defense
The Chiefs were awful against the run early in the season. In their eight-game winning streak, they are allowing only 93.8 rushing yards per game. That would make them a top-10 run defense. While the 49ers had the No. 2 rushing offense in the league, the Chiefs will be able to limit that and force QB Jimmy Garoppolo to throw the ball, something he has done just 27 times through two playoff games.
Too much offensive firepower
The Chiefs scored fewer than 23 points only once all season. They have had 12 games with at least 25 points scored. They have a loaded and star-studded offense with RB Damien Williams, WRs Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins, and TE Travis Kelce.
That is just too many weapons for the 49ers to be able to stop.
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