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The Kansas City Chiefs (16-3) and Philadelphia Eagles (16-3) will throw down in Super Bowl LVII at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. Sunday’s kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Chiefs vs. Eagles odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
This Super Bowl matchup features 2 of the league’s top 3 offenses in total points and yards — the Chiefs finished the regular season 1st in both categories while the Eagles finished 3rd in both.
The Chiefs had a bit more difficult of a postseason path to the big game than Philly, though both squads enjoyed a bye week during Wild Card Weekend. The Chiefs defeated their nemesis Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship Game 23-20, covering the spread as 2-point home favorites. In the Divisional Round, the Chiefs defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20, failing to cover as 10-point home favorites.
The Eagles had no problem getting through their playoff opponents. They beat the San Francisco 49ers 31-7 in the NFC Championship Game, easily covering as 2.5-point home favorites. In the Divisional Round, Philly beat the New York Giants 38-7, covering as an 8-point home favorite.
Overall, the Eagles are 10-9 ATS this season while the Chiefs are just 6-12-1 ATS. The Over in total points has cashed in 10 out of Philly’s 19 matchups while cashing just 8 out of 19 in Kansas City’s contests.
Here’s a quick look at the odds for Sunday’s Super Bowl and what picks we like. We’ll have a deeper analysis by the weekend.
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Chiefs vs. Eagles odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:17 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Eagles -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs +1.5 (-110) | Eagles -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Chiefs vs. Eagles key injuries
Chiefs
- WR Mecole Hardman (pelvis) out
- WR JuJu Smith-Shuster (knee) questionable
- CB L’Jarius Sneed (concussion) questionable
Eagles
- G Landon Dickerson (elbow) questionable
- DE Robert Quinn (foot) questionable
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Chiefs vs. Eagles picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 30, Eagles 27
Moneyline
The Chiefs have shown to be a resilient squad despite QB Patrick Mahomes playing through a high-ankle sprain. With 2 weeks of rest and the Chiefs defense hitting its stride, now is the time for Mahomes to capture his 2nd ring and prove that he’s the face of the NFL.
BET CHIEFS (+105).
Against the spread
There’s no reason to buy the extra points on the Chiefs +1.5 (-110), especially since this could easily be a 1-point game. Both moneyline payouts are good, so you’re better off picking a squad straight up and sticking with it.
PASS on the spread.
Over/Under
Many will expect this to be a high-scorer since these are top-3 offenses, but both teams have been playing quality defense as well. This won’t be a shootout, though it’s also hard to see this game falling under 51 with both offenses averaging over 28 points per game.
Ultimately the Over/Under on total points may be too volatile to place money on for this matchup, but if you’re hankering for a bet then LEAN OVER 51 (-110).
More 2023 Super Bowl coverage
- QB props: Patrick Mahomes | Jalen Hurts
- Cheat sheet: Picks and predictions galore
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access more content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
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