Stetson at Florida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Stetson at Florida odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 5 Florida Gators (12-0) welcome the Stetson Hatters (2-10) to the Stephen C. O’Connell Center Sunday. Tip-off is set for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN+ / SEC Network+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Stetson vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Florida, which is No. 5 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, has yet to lose a game this season and is 9-3 against the spread (ATS). It is coming off a 99-45 home win over the North Florida Ospreys Dec. 21 as a 27-point favorite. The Gators have covered 7 straight games and are 3-3 ATS at home.

Stetson, which plays in the Atlantic Sun, beat the Fort Lauderdale Eagles 103-77 Sunday in a game that was off the board. The Hatters have failed to cover 3 straight games and are just 3-7 ATS on the season. Their most high-profile game was an 85-64 road loss to the No. 11 Oklahoma Sooners Nov. 16, covering as 27.5-point underdogs.

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Stetson at Florida odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated Saturday at 11:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stetson +3300 (bet $100 to win $3,300) | Florida -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Stetson +37.5 (-115) | Florida -37.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stetson at Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida 88, Stetson 61

Moneyline

PASS.

Florida (-10000) is far too expensive of a favorite to take.

Against the spread

BET STETSON +37.5 (-115).

The Gators are 1-3 ATS as favorites of 20 or more points and 0-1 ATS when laying 30 or more. While Florida will come out on top, it has had trouble covering massive spreads.

The Hatters are 1-0 ATS against top-25 sides, covering in their loss to the Sooners Nov. 16. They have alternated covers and non-covers in their 6 games as double-digit underdogs and are coming off a non-cover as 23.5-point ‘dogs at LSU Dec. 17.

Take STETSON +37.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 159.5 (-110).

Florida has allowed 62 or fewer points in 4 games as a favorite of 20 or more. It has yet to top triple digits in a single game this season, as well. The Gators are 5-7 O/U.

The Hatters may have gone Over in their 2 games against SEC opponents, but neither of those games would’ve topped this total. Considering those trends, back UNDER 159.5 (-110).

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