The St. Louis Cardinals (41-44) visit the San Francisco Giants (53-30) Monday to start a three-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
St. Louis lost three of four games at the Colorado Rockies this past weekend following a three-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Cardinals are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
San Francisco won three games of a four-game series at the Diamondbacks after losing both parts of a two-game miniseries at the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Giants are 14-6 over their last 20 games.
Season series: 0-0.
LHP Kwang Hyun Kim makes his 14th start for the Cardinals. Kim is 2-5 with a 3.79 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 this season.
- Last outing: Win, 7-4, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 5 K Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.
- 2021 road splits: 0-4 with a 4.44 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.48 WHIP and 2.1 K/BB rate across six starts.
RHP Kevin Gausman is on the mound for the Giants. Gausman is 8-2 with a 1.68 ERA (101 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 0.81 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 over 16 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 3-1, with 5 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 5 BB and 4 K at the Dodgers Tuesday.
- 2021 home splits: 3-0 with a 2.31 ERA (35 IP, 9 ER), 0.57 WHIP, and 8.2 K/BB rate across five starts.
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Cardinals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Cardinals +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Giants -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-110) | Giants -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Giants 6, Cardinals 1
Money line (ML)
PASS with a slight “lean” to the Giants (-225) because San Francisco is definitely the right side but I’d rather be a little greedy and take a shot at the Giants’ run line rather than lay it with San Francisco to win outright.
If you’d prefer to take less risk then I’d recommend betting just 1 unit on San Francisco’s money line. For example, if your standard unit of wager is $100 then bet $100 on Giants (-225) to earn a $44.44 profit.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
GIMME the GIANTS -1.5 (-110) for 1 unit because San Francisco has been tough on left-handed pitching this season and both the Giants offense and Gausman have been dominant at home.
San Francisco’s lineup ranks in the top 10 of MLB against left-handed pitching in wRC+, wOBA, OPS and BB/K rate. The Giants also have a 15-9 record against lefty starters.
Also, Giants hitters are in the top 10 at home in wRC+, wOBA, OPS and BB/K with a 26-11 home record. The Giants also have the third-highest cover rate as a home favorite at 16-12 ATS.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a quarter unit, if at all, because I much prefer San Francisco’s sides more than the total.
According to Pregame.com, nearly 95% of the money wagered is on the Over so there’s value in a “contrarian play” in this spot.
While the Giants rake at home, Kim allowed only 1 earned run in three of his past four starts and Gausman is turning in a legitimate Cy Young performance through the first half of 2021.
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