The St. Louis Cardinals (20-16) continue their 4-game series with the New York Mets (24-14) at Citi Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
These teams split Tuesday’s series-opening doubleheader with N.Y. taking the first game 3-1 then St. Louis winning the second affair 4-3.
The Cardinals have won 3 of their last 4 games but are just 4-6 overall in the last 10 games while the Mets have alternated between winning and losing over the past 8 games and are 5-5 overall in the last 10.
Cardinals at Mets projected starters
RHP Jordan Hicks vs. RHP Max Scherzer
Hicks is 1-3 with a 4.15 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 21 2/3 IP over 5 starts and 2 relief appearances.
- Last start: Loss, 8-2, vs. the San Francisco Giants Friday with 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 3 K.
- 2022 vs. the Mets: Loss, 3-0, April 26 with 2 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 1 K.
Scherzer is 4-1 with a 2.66 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 across 44 IP over 7 starts.
- Last start: Win, 2-1, vs. the Seattle Mariners Friday with 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 6 K.
- 2022 vs. the Cardinals: No-decision in 5-2 loss April 25 with 7-scoreless IP, 2 H, 1 BB and 10 K.
- vs. Cardinals on the current roster: 1.63 FIP with a .179/.216/.264 expected batting average, wOBA and slugging percentage slash line with 34.0 K% and 84.0 mph exit velocity (EV) in 194 plate appearances (PA).
Cardinals at Mets odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Cardinals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Mets -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-135) | Mets -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Cardinals at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Cardinals 1
Money line
BET the METS (-210) because they have an edge in the pitching matchup and perform better against righty starters.
Scherzer hasn’t allowed an ER over 21 IP with a 32/2 K/BB rate in 3 starts vs. the Cardinals since the beginning of last season. N.Y.’s bullpen has much stronger pitching peripherals than St. Louis’s, including a better xFIP and K/BB, outside-the-zone swing and swinging-strike rates, per FanGraphs.
The Mets are 20-7 overall vs. righty starters and rank 6th in wRC+ (117) and 7th in wOBA (.327) against right-handed pitching. Whereas the Cardinals are 16-13 against right-handed starters and rank 14th in wRC+ (104) and 16th in wOBA (.304) vs. righty pitching.
However, since this is a pricey ML, I’d only RISK 1 unit on the METS (-210) instead of betting to win 1 unit.
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Run line/Against the spread
LEAN to the METS -1.5 (+110) only because the Cardinals have been a lot more productive at the plate over the past two weeks. However, N.Y. is just 8-10 RL as a home favorite while St. Louis is 9-4 RL as a road underdog.
But, the Cardinals cannot hit Scherzer and all 4 of the Mets victories with Scherzer on the mount have been by at least 2 runs.
Over/Under
LEAN to the UNDER 6.5 (+105) since the total has been lowered from a 7-run opener due to sharp line movement and St. Louis’s lineup figures to struggle against Scherzer.
But, the Over has cashed in 5 of the last 7 Cardinals-Mets meetings in N.Y. and the Mets are 4-3 O/U in Scherzer’s 7 starts this season.
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