St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (75-69) and New York Mets (72-74) meet Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET to close out a three-game series at Citi Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Cardinals vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Jon Lester is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 5-6 with a 4.75 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 5.4 K/9, and 3.6 BB/9 over 119 1/3 IP through 24 starts.

  • Owns a 1.90 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over his last four starts.
  • Current New York batters own an aggregate .902 OPS against him.

RHP Tylor Megill is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 3-4 with a 4.06 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 10.2 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 through 77 2/3 IP over 15 starts.

  • Allowed 2 ER on 4 hits and piled up a season-high 10K through 7 frames in his last start Friday against the New York Yankees.
  • Draws the benefit of a right-leaning St. Louis lineup. Lefty batters own a .971 OPS against Megill; right-handed batters have posted a .518 mark.

Cardinals at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mets -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-150) | Mets -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Mets 6, Cardinals 5

Money line (ML)

St. Louis has taken the first two games of this series and four in a row overall. The Cardinals are 6-1 with a 2.35 ERA over their last seven games.

Mets pitching has been shaky as they have recorded a 4.67 ERA en route to a 5-7 record over the last 12 games. Run prevention has been an overall strength for the Metropolitans: their 4.04 runs allowed per game ranks sixth in MLB.

New York has been hitting the ball better of late and own a robust .819 OPS since Aug. 28.

The New York National Leaguers have gone a respectable 43-30 at home.

Peg Megill as giving New York enough of a mound advantage to make the METS (-170) a solid play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on trying to get to a multi-run lead which may go through the efforts of an inconsistent Mets bullpen.

Over/Under (O/U)

The weather forecast calls for a warm, humid, breeze-out-to-center evening at Citi Field. Both hurlers are prone to coughing up home runs, and New York has scored 6 or more runs in four of its last five games.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-107).

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