St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (40-31) and Milwaukee Brewers (39-32) meet in a 2:10 p.m. ET Thursday game at American Family Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 6-5.

The Cardinals have taken the first 2 games of this series in Cream City and are now 3-3 in a road trip that opened in Boston. The Redbirds own a fine .819 OPS in their last 12 games.

The Brewers are just 2-9 in their last 11 home games. The Milwaukee offense has struggled in its home yard, and the Brewers own a mere .601 OPS in  those 11 games.

Cardinals at Brewers projected starters

RHP Dakota Hudson vs. RHP Jason Alexander

Hudson (5-3, 3.31 ERA) owns a 1.29 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 in 70 2/3 IP over 13 starts.

  • Current Milwaukee batters own a small-sample .843 OPS against him.
  • Has yielded 2 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts.

Alexander (1-0, 2.42 ERA) is tabbed for his 5th start. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 3.2 K/9 in 22 1/3 IP.

  • Allows frequent contact but has only been barreled up on 3.6% of balls put in play and has induced a 54.3% ground-ball rate.
  • A 29-year-old rookie called up after logging a 2.64 ERA in 9 games at Triple-A.

Cardinals at Brewers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -117 (bet $100 to win $117) | Brewers -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Cardinals -1.5 (+155) | Brewers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Cardinals at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Brewers 4

Money line

Figure Milwaukee’s record being a little flimsy due to a 14-9 mark in 1-run games.

The Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 meetings in Milwaukee. The Cards are a lean in principle but only actionable at -110 or better.

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Run line/Against the spread

CARDINALS -1.5 (+155) figures as the best value in this one. St. Louis has been the much better offensive team of late. The Redbirds own a .740 OPS against ground-ball pitchers, and the St. Louis bullpen matches up well with the Brewers.

Over/Under

Peg both starting pitchers as being too far over their skis with their surface numbers.

TAKE THE OVER 9.5 (-102).

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