St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (3-2) and Miami Marlins (1-4) wrap up a three-game set Wednesday at 4:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jack Flaherty is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-0 with a 12.46 ERA, 1.85 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 in 4 1/3 IP in his one start this season. Flaherty hasn’t faced the Marlins since June 18, 2019, allowing three earned runs, four hits and a walk with eight strikeouts across seven innings in a loss despite the quality start.

RHP Pablo Lopez is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 0-0 with an 0.00 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 5 IP in his one start in 2021. He has just one career appearance against the Cardinals, allowing two earned runs, four hits and one walk with five strikeouts across seven innings in a no-decision and quality start Aug. 7, 2018 in Miami.

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Cardinals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Marlins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals -1.5 (+145) | Marlins +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Marlins 4, Cardinals 3

Money line (ML)

The MARLINS (-105) look to avoid a sweep at the hands of the Cardinals (-115), who have enjoyed solid pitching across the first two games of the series. The good pitching should continue, but Lopez should give his team a chance to avoid the broom.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The MARLINS +1.5 (-175) aren’t a bad play catching a run-and-a-half, as they look to avoid a three-game sweep. The problem with Miami so far in 2021 is that they have averaged just 1.5 runs per game in two outings against the Cardinals and four or fewer runs in four of their five outings. Miami has covered the run line as an underdog just once in the past four.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the lean, cashing in the first two games of this series. The Under is also 3-2 in Miami’s first five outings, and they’re averaging just 4.6 runs per game despite a 12-run explosion April 3. Take that game out, and the offense has just 1.8 runs per game in the other four.

The Cardinals have averaged just 3.8 runs per game across the past four outings, and they have yielded just three runs in the first two of this series.

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