South Dakota State at Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s South Dakota State at Iowa odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Iowa Hawkeyes welcome the South Dakota State Jackrabbits to Kinnick Stadium Saturday to get their seasons underway. Kickoff is set for noon ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the South Dakota State vs. Iowa odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Iowa finished 10-4 over and 7-2 in Big Ten play and opens the 2022 season on the outside looking of the AFCA Coaches Poll. The Hawkeyes are returning starting QB Spencer Petras who had 10 touchdowns and 9 interceptions last season.

RB Tyler Goodson was their main threat last season with over 1,000 yards on the ground, but he left for the NFL. He’ll be replaced by RB Gavin Williams, who averaged 4.7 yards per carry on 65 attempts last season.

South Dakota State was 11-4 overall last season and 5-3 in conference play in the Missouri Valley Football Conference. They scored 36 points per game and gave up 20 per game. They were led by grad student QB Chris Oladokun.

Senior QB Keaton Heide will take over for him. Junior RB Isaiah Davis will also be taking over in the backfield, so the offensive leadership for the Jackrabbits will be different this season.

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South Dakota State at Iowa odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:31 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): South Dakota State +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Iowa -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): South Dakota State +14.5 (-112) | Iowa -14.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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South Dakota State at Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa 34, South Dakota State 14

Money line

PASS.

Iowa should win this game on their home turf, but there isn’t much value in putting anything on the Hawkeyes (-800) to win outright when you would only return $12.50 for every $100 wagered.

Against the spread

BET IOWA -14.5 (-108).

The Hawkeyes beat their only non-Power 5 opponents last season by 23 and 10 with the latter being a 24-14 win over Colorado State.

Iowa will be returning their starting quarterback who should have a good grip on the offense. The Hawkeyes should see a little drop-off in production from Goodson to Williams as well.

South Dakota State has a new quarterback and running back, both of whom weren’t overly impressive from a season ago.

The Jackrabbits have been successful in the MVFC behind long-time coach John Stiegelmeier. They’ll be a competitive side, but I would back the Hawkeyes to come out on top by at least 15.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 43.5 (-112).

The Jackrabbits single-handedly went over this total several times last season, and Stiegelmeier should have his offensive prepared for a rowdy environment.

Similarly, the Hawkeyes, who are known for their ground-and-pound nature, should have an experienced quarterback that is able to keep drives alive and put points on the board.

Iowa scored 30 or more points 4 times last season and topped 25 in 8. It should be able to score at a good rate in this battle and help push the OVER 43.5 (-112).

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