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The South Alabama Jaguars (1-1) travel to Oxford to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (2-0) Tuesday at C. M. Tad Smith Coliseum. Tip time is will be at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the South Alabama vs. Ole Miss odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
South Alabama opened its season Nov. 4 with a 74-70 loss to the Central Michigan Chippewas, but then rebounded with a 70-64 win as a 5.5-point underdog Friday at the Nicholls State Colonels. In the Friday conquest, the Jaguars overcame a 33.3% mark from the field by getting to the foul line 30 times (and making 23 free throws).
Ole Miss overcame some dodgy shooting of its own in its last game, a 66-64 Friday win over the Grambling Tiers. The favored-by-23.5 Rebels shot just 35.4% in that game. UM prevailed by logging a plus-15 in turnovers and by holding the Tigers to just 4 offensive rebounds.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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South Alabama at Ole Miss odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 7:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: South Alabama +1050 (bet $100 to win $1,050) | Ole Miss -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): South Alabama +17.5 (-110) | Ole Miss -17.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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South Alabama at Ole Miss picks and predictions
Prediction
Ole Miss 83, South Alabama 68
Moneyline
No interest. The visiting 5 is a lean, but the return here is watered down by a lot of juice. AVOID.
Against the spread
South Alabama is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games played in November. Ole Miss is 2-9 ATS across its last 11 games and 1-6 ATS in its last 7 at home.
South Alabama perhaps would have been a more attractive play here if the Rebels had not gotten a scare in their last outing, but the Jaguars are still a moderate lean with this spread. South Alabama figures has a veteran squad and figures to take good enough care of the basketball and avoid a big turnover deficit. Its also reasonable to project the Jaguars won’t get run off the floor in rebounding or free-throw frequency differentials. So, there are enough key points swaying this one into the neighborhood of a potential margin more in the 12-to-15-point range.
BACK THE JAGUARS +17.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The last 7 Ole Miss games have seen the Over go 5-2. In the Rebels’ last 4 games when tabbed as a double-digit favorite, the Over is 3-1.
Similar past road-dog games for South Alabama have seen higher totals, and the pace here could well be hotter than what shows in early-game possession numbers for each side. Plus, the Jaguars typically avoid lower-percentage mid-range looks and let it fly from distance. The Jaguars have attempted 29.0 3s per game so far.
BACK THE OVER 148.5 (-110).
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