SMU at Cincinnati odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s SMU at Cincinnati odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The SMU Mustangs (10-20, 5-12 AAC) go up against the Cincinnati Bearcats (19-11, 10-7) on Sunday at Fifth Third Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the SMU vs. Cincinnati odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Mustangs were blown out by Memphis 81-62 as 6.5-point home underdogs on Thursday. SMU has lost 2 consecutive games and has won only 3 of its last 10 contests.

The Bearcats haven’t played since last Sunday when they lost 76-73 to Memphis despite covering as 5.5-point road underdogs. Cincinnati has gone 5-5 in its last 10 games.

This will be their 2nd meeting. The Mustangs covered as 5-point home underdogs in the 54-52 loss and the Under hit in the 1st meeting on Jan. 14.

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SMU at Cincinnati odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): SMU +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Cincinnati -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): SMU +11.5 (-115) | Cincinnati -11.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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SMU at Cincinnati picks and predictions

Prediction

Cincinnati 80, SMU 67

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Bearcats should be able to win with ease at home, but taking them straight up at the current odds (-650) isn’t worth the risk.

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Against the spread

CINCINNATI -11.5 (-105) feels like the right pick considering all the numbers. The Mustangs have lost by 14-plus points in each of their last 3 setbacks.

SMU is also 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 road games, while Cincinnati is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games following a loss.

Over/Under

OVER 145.5 (-115) is the lean in this matchup with both teams averaging a combined 147.4 points per game. SMU also allows 74.8 points per game (312th in the nation) and Cincinnati makes a solid 35.8% of its 3-point attempts (95th in the nation).

The Mustangs have hit the Over in 12 of their last 14 games following a loss, and the Bearcats are 3-0-1 to the Over in their last 4 games following an ATS win.

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