The Seattle Mariners (71-58) take on the Detroit Tigers (50-79) Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Comerica Park. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mariners lead 1-0
The Mariners rolled the Tigers 9-3 in the series opener Tuesday and have won 4 of 5 games. Seattle’s bats had cooled as they have plated just 4.3 runs per game over the last 10, but that includes a 9 and 10 spot. 1B Ty France is one of the few streaking M’s, going 5-for-11 (.455) with 2 homers and 3 RBIs over the last week.
The Tigers have 5 wins in their last 10 games, which is half of what they accumulated over the last 30, with a 10-20 record. Entering Tuesday, they came off a 3-game series in Texas where they scored 26 runs. They came back home and got throttled.
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Mariners at Tigers projected starters
LHP Marco Gonzales vs. LHP Tyler Alexander
Gonzales (9-12, 3.97 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 140 2/3 IP.
- Turning around a rough patch, last 2 starts: 11 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 10 H, 3 BB, 5 K
- Struggles on the road: 4.60 ERA,1.61 WHIP vs. 3.46 ERA, 1.21 WHIP at home
Alexander (3-8, 4.83 ERA) makes his 11th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 4.7 K/9 in 63 1/3 IP.
- Has a 6.40 ERA in his last 7 GS and has given up at least 3 ER in 3 straight starts
- Better at home: 3.53 ERA, 1.12 WHIP vs. 6.51 ERA, 1.63 WHIP on road
Mariners at Tigers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Mariners -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Tigers +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+102) | Tigers +1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Mariners at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 6, Tigers 3
Money line
Seattle isn’t as steep of a favorite as one might expect. Alexander has been better at home, but he’s still likely to spot Seattle 3-4 runs. With that, let’s take MARINERS (-165) and MARINERS OVER 2.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-114).
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Run line/Against the spread
Nine of Seattle’s last 10 wins have been by more than 1 run. The real question is: Do we trust Gonzales to limit the traffic on the bases enough for Seattle to cash a RL bet? He has 4 wins in his last 7 starts, and all of them were multi-run wins. We’ll take the plus-money here, but just take MARINERS -1.5 (+102) for a HALF-UNIT.
Over/Under
The wind is blowing out to left-center field at 12 mph. We have a pair of pitch-to-contact left-handers on the mound. Comerica isn’t a hitters’ park, but it could be for right-handers today.
The only real question is whether we can count on Seattle to get 6 because we can count on Detroit for 3. They scored 3 runs off a long-relief guy Tuesday after being down 9-0 for most of the game. They had 5 other home games over the last 10 (which they were 5-5 during), and they scored 15 runs. So a baseline for them is 3 runs. LEAN OVER 8.5 (-112).
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