The Seattle Mariners (31-32) and Detroit Tigers (25-36) play Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Justus Sheffield is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 5-4 with a 4.77 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 across 54 2/3 IP over 10 starts.
Sheffield’s recent road starts have been an adventure, and he totes a road ERA of 6.00 into Thursday’s matinee in the Motor City. The 25-year-old lefty walked 10 batters in his last 15 2/3 IP.
LHP Tyler Alexander is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is a relief pitcher serving as an opener for what will be a bullpen game for Detroit. Through 15 relief outings and 1 start, Alexander is 0-0 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 over 23 2/3 IP.
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Mariners at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Tigers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mariners -1.5 (+150) | Tigers +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Tigers 5, Mariners 3
Money line (ML)
Seattle is 3-5 over its last 8 games and is currently on an unwieldy Los Angeles-to-Detroit-to-Cleveland-to-Seattle trip. The Tigers are 6-5 over their last 11 contests.
Sheffield has not impressed thus far in 2021. His road work has been iffy, and he’s susceptible to right-handed bats to more than an average degree. Detroit swings it from the right side in 92% of plate appearances vs. lefties.
The Tigers going with a bullpen game looks iffy with the club’s 5.25 relief ERA. Detroit has been undone somewhat, though, by unkind rates around the margins, such as a .310 BABIP and 17.3% home run to fly-ball rate.
Consider partial-unit action here, but DETROIT (-115) is a decent play.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
STEER CLEAR of the extra juice.
Over/Under (O/U)
With a sliver of respect due to the Tigers bullpen, two shaky offenses, a pitchers’ park and the forecast of an inward breeze on a get-away day, TAKE THE UNDER 9 (-110).
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