The Seattle Mariners (73-58) and the Cleveland Guardians (68-61) open a 3-game series Friday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mariners lead series 3-1
The Mariners are coming in hot, winners of 4 consecutive games, and 6 of the past 7 outings. That streak includes a 3-1 series victory against the Guardians last weekend at T-Mobile Park in Seattle.
The Guardians have hit the skids a little lately, dropping 5 of the past 7 outings, while experiencing an offensive power outage. Cleveland was blanked Wednesday and Thursday at the Baltimore Orioles, and the Guardians are averaging just 1.7 runs per game across the past 7 contests.
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Mariners at Guardians projected starters
RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Zach Plesac
Castillo (5-5, 2.85 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 116 2/3 IP.
- Allowed just 1 ER on 4 H and 1 BB with 10 K in a no-decision against the Guardians in Seattle Saturday
- Has recorded at least 5 K in each of his 5 starts with the M’s, posting 39 total K across just 31 2/3 IP
Plesac (3-11, 4.39 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 127 IP.
- Is 1-4 with a 3.81 ERA with 38 K across 54 1/3 IP across 10 starts at Progressive Field this season
- Allowed just 3 ER (all solo HR) with 0 BB and 6 K across 7 IP in a win in Seattle Saturday — his first victory in 13 starts.
Mariners at Guardians odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:26 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Mariners -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Guardians +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+120) | Guardians +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, Mariners 3
Money line
The GUARDIANS (+115) really haven’t given bettors a reason to back them lately, going 2-5 across the past 7 outings. However, Cleveland is a solid side at home, and Plesac’s confidence received a huge jolt when he topped the Mariners and Castillo last weekend in Seattle.
Run line/Against the spread
The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-145) aren’t priced terribly out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance and just don’t trust Cleveland to snap out of its funk. Cleveland’s offense has been quite sporadic lately, and facing Castillo isn’t exactly a recipe of success.
Over/Under
Play the UNDER 7.5 (-110), as it is easily the best play with Cleveland struggling to plate runs lately. In fact, the Guardians have been shut out in 3 of their last 4 games.
The Under is 6-2-1 in Seattle’s past 9 games overall, and 4-1-1 in the past 6 against teams with a winning overall record. The Under has also cashed in Cleveland’s last 5 at home and gone 10-1 in its last 11 at home against a right-handed starting pitcher.
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