Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders odds, picks and predictions

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The Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-7-1) and Calgary Stampeders (4-8-1) meet Friday. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (CFL+/TSN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughriders vs. Stampeders odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.

The Roughriders are 0-6-1 straight up (SU) and 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 games. They dropped back-to-back games to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers before their Week 15 bye. After losing 35-33 as a 2.5-point home favorite Sept. 1, they lost 26-21 as a 2.5-point road underdog Sept. 7 — the Over/Under (O/U) went 1-1 in the home-and-home set.

The Stampeders covered as 6-point underdogs in a 19-19 tie with the visiting Montreal Alouettes Saturday with the Under (49.5) hitting. Calgary is 0-4-1 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.

The Stampeders went 2-1 SU and ATS in 3 meetings with the Roughriders last season, with the O/U going 2-1. In their most recent meeting Oct. 13, 2023, Calgary covered as a 3.5-point home favorite in a 26-19 win as the Under (48.5) cashed.

Roughriders at Stampeders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1:55 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughriders -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Stampeders +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread: Roughriders -2.5 (-110) | Stampeders +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Roughriders at Stampeders key injuries

Roughriders

OL Jacob Brammer (knee) out
DL Malik Carney (ankle) out
LB Justin Herdman-Reed (elbow) out
DB Rolan Milligan Jr. (personal) questionable
LB Nick Wiebe (knee) out

Stampeders

OL Bryce Bell (calf) doubtful
DL Josiah Coatney (knee) questionable
WR Ishmael Hyman (hamstring) doubtful
WR Cole Tucker (hamstring) questionable
DL Charles Wiley (Achilles) out

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Roughriders at Stampeders picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughriders 30, Stampeders 26

Moneyline

The ROUGHRIDERS (-150) are winless in their last 7 games, but they’re still favored on the road over a Calgary team that has produced similar results as of late. This line was -155 Tuesday, so while a little bit of money has come in on Calgary, the market still acknowledges that Saskatchewan is clearly the better team.

The Stampeders won the final 2 meetings between these teams last year, but Roughriders QB Trevor Harris was forced to leave the July 15 game with a knee injury and didn’t play in the Oct. 13 meeting. Harris only played 1 meeting last year from start to finish, a 29-26 OT win for the Roughriders as 2-point road underdogs June 24.

BET ROUGHRIDERS (-150).

Against the spread

I have no interesting in laying 2.5 points on the road with a team that is winless in its last 7 games. These teams have played each other close recently, with the average margin of victory being just 4.0 points over the last 3 meetings — not enough to motivate me to lay 2.5.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in Calgary’s last 6 games, with the Stampeders allowing an average of 30.7 points per game. The concern here is whether or not Calgary can score enough points to help the Over hit, but Saskatchewan’s defense has also struggled recently, giving up 26 or more points in 3 of its last 4 games.

BET OVER 50.5 (-115).

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