Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders odds and lines, with expert CFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-1) and the Calgary Stampeders (1-1) meet Saturday at McMahon Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TSN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughriders vs. Stampeders odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.

The Roughriders opened with a 17-13 win as 2.5-point underdogs in Edmonton with the Under (45) connecting. In Week 2, the Riders were on the wrong end of a 45-27 home loss against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers as 7-point underdogs with the Over (47.5) easily coming through.

Saskatchewan rolled up 405 yards through the air in Week 2 against Winnipeg, but it managed just 48 rushing yards, while the Bombers were good for 107 yards on the ground and 4.7 yards per carry. Unfortunately for Saskatchewan, Winnipeg was 5 for 5 in the red zone.

The Stamps rebounded from a 25-15 loss at home to the BC Lions, flipping the script with a 26-15 road win at the Ottawa Redblacks in Week 2. Calgary cashed as a 6.5-point favorite vs. Ottawa, while it hit the Under — this time at 43 — for a 2nd consecutive week. The Stampeders were 2.5-point favorites in Week 1 with the Under being 50.5 vs. the Lions.

Saskatchewan and Calgary met twice last season with the Stampeders winning each outing by 11 or more points. Calgary is 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 head-to-head meetings, too. Saskatchewan did win Nov. 28, 2021 in the 2nd-most recent meeting at McMahon Stadium, winning a 33-30 OT thriller as 2.5-point favorites.

Stats from the CFL official website

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Roughriders at Stampeders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:41 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Roughriders +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Stampeders -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Roughriders +3.5 (-115) | Stampeders -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughriders at Stampeders key injuries

Roughriders

  • RB Albert Awachie (hamstring) out
  • WR Juwan Brescacin (shoulder) out
  • DL DeMarcus Christmas (knee) out
  • DB Rodney Clemons (ankle) out
  • DB Jayden Dalke (back) out
  • DL Nicholas Dheilly (head) out
  • OL Peter Godber (illness) game-time decision
  • RB Frankie Hickson (shoulder) out
  • P Kaare Vedvik (hip) out

Stampeders

  • WR Reggie Begelton (ribs) out
  • OL Jamal Campbell (healthy scratch) out
  • DB Julian Charles (knee) out
  • WR Tyson Middlemost (hamstring) out
  • DB Nick Statz (foot) out
  • DB Shaquille St-Lot (hamstring) out
  • OL Hugh Thornton (ankle) out
  • DB Titus Wall (hamstring) out

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Roughriders at Stampeders picks and predictions

Prediction

Stampeders 25, Roughriders 20

Moneyline

CALGARY (-165) returns to McMahon for the first time since a disappointing Week 1 setback to BC. The Stamps haven’t been as prolific on offense as in years past, but the defense has been doing its job with aplomb. It should be able to hold down a rather toothless Saskatchewan offense, helping the Stampeders move to 2-1 on the season.

Against the spread

CALGARY -3.5 (-105) comes with a little more risk than the ML play, although the Stampeders hit the road and took care of the Redblacks last weekend. Ottawa and Saskatchewan are fairly similar, and you can expect similar results, too.

The fact that the Stamps are back home for this one is a good sign. While Saskatchewan did win on the road at Edmonton in Week 1, this is a much bigger test, and one which the Riders will not pass.

Divvy up 1.5 UNITS between the CALGARY (-165) moneyline and the CALGARY -3.5 (-105) spread.

Over/Under

UNDER 45.5 (-110) is the lean.

The Under has hit in each game for Calgary so far, with the team averaging 20.5 points per game (PPG) and allowing 20.0 PPG.

For Saskatchewan, it was on fire in the pass game last week, but a lot of the statistics are misleading, coming in prevent-defense situations with the game well out of hand.

Expect the Roughriders offense to look close to the version we saw in Week 1 against the Elks as it was not terribly good. The defense for Saskatchewan was much better in the opener, too. Don’t expect to see the Roughriders get trampled by the Stampeders in the same fashion the Bombers took them down.

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