The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers continue their National League Division Series with Game 2 Wednesday night at 9:08 p.m. ET at the MLB postseason neutral location of Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Dodgers will bat last as the official home team. Below, we analyze the Padres-Dodgers Game 2 MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Los Angeles won Tuesday’s game 5-1 and leads the series 1-0.
Padres vs. Dodgers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Zach Davies vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw
Davies is ticketed to make what marks his second postseason start (he also appeared in one playoff game as a reliever with the Milwaukee Brewers in 2018). His first postseason outing was Thursday when he allowed 4 earned runs on 5 hits in a two-inning outing against the St. Louis Cardinals. In the regular season, the 27-year-old right-hander posted a 2.73 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.
- Has held current LA bats to a minuscule .505 OPS in past meetings (130 PA).
Kershaw posted a 2.16 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over 10 regular-season starts.
- Has had his share of postseason woes (4.43 ERA in 158 1/3 IP from 2008-19), but he registered 8 tremendous innings in his Oct. 1 Wild Card Series start against the Brewers (0 runs on 3 hits and 1 walk). Kershaw fanned a career-best 13 in that start.
- Has limited current San Diego bats to a .624 OPS and .132 ISO (121 PA).
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Padres vs. Dodgers: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Padres
- C Jason Castro (jaw) questionable
- RP Kirby Yates (elbow) out
Padres vs. Dodgers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Money line (ML)
The Dodgers (-223) are favored by a margin that equates to a 69% win probability. In other words, if you can get yourself to, say 4% higher than that figure, that’s where value can be found despite the higher price tag. The answer for me is yes, I can get to that value mark without a stretch.
For the Padres (+200) — a club whose starting pitching logged a 3.46 ERA in the regular season — Davies is a pitcher who undercuts their normal game odds substantially. His 2.73 ERA was buoyed by a .249 BABIP, and several analytic ERA metrics peg him as a 4.00-to-4.25 guy.
Add in the platoon advantages — a righty starter is a plus for LA (.842 OPS vs. RHP); a lefty starter is a negative for San Diego (.761 OPS vs. LHP) — and recent batting trends, and the Dodgers are lined up for an above average night and the Padres are not.
TAKE THE DODGERS (-223).
New to sports betting? A winning $223 bet on the Dodgers ML pays out a profit of $100.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
With the home team potentially batting one less time here, it’d be wise to steer clear of DODGERS -1.5 (-115) or hold out for a better price.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 8.5 (-115) has some value at a -110 tag or an even 8 on the total.
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