The San Diego Padres (32-19) host the Seattle Mariners (22-28) Friday night in the first game of a three-game set in which the Mariners will serve as the official home team. The first game of the series at Petco Park starts with first pitch set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Padres-Mariners MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Padres at Mariners: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Chris Paddack vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi
Paddack has logged a 4.74 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 10 starts. The 24-year-old went just two innings in his last start (Sept. 10) due to an ankle sprain. He’s expected to be ready for Friday’s start.
- Paddack has battled problems allowing hard contact and especially the kind that lands on the other side of the outfield fence with a 2.0 HR/9. He has pitched a bit better of late, a trend that has been masked by a high BABIP over recent starts.
Kikuchi owns a 5.35 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over 7 starts.
- Deserving of a better fate than a 5-something ERA. The 29-year-old Mariners port-sider has been undone by an unusually low left-on-base percentage (53%) and a .320 BABIP.
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Padres at Mariners: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Padres
- 1B Eric Hosmer (finger) out
- OF Tommy Pham (hand) out
- RP Matt Strahm (knee) out
- RP Kirby Yates (elbow) out
Mariners
- OF Mitch Haniger (hernia) out
- C Tom Murphy (foot) out
- 2B Sam Haggerty (forearm) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Padres at Mariners: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
Money line (ML)
The money line here contains a lot of juice, and it brackets value either way. Pass on SEATTLE (+165).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The more likable play is SEATTLE +1.5 (+100). The Paddack return from injury creates a question mark, as does the Padres’ collective frame of mind in coming off a key series against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Mariners are at their best against right-handed pitching, and the Padres are turned around to their lesser splits against port-siders.
The San Diego bullpen is dinged up, and Kikuchi figures to be overlooked on the home side.
Over/Under (O/U)
The low side of the 8.5 has a slight lean. The UNDER 8.5 (-110) is perhaps worth an undercard (or partial-unit play) alongside the run line action.
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