The San Diego Padres (61-47) travel up to the Bay Area to start a two-game interleague series with the Oakland Athletics (60-47) Tuesday at Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Padres vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 1-1.
LHP Blake Snell is San Diego’s projected starter. He is 4-4 with a 5.44 ERA (84 1/3 IP, 51 ER), 1.61 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 over 19 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 10-4, with 4 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 4 BB and 1 K against the A’s at home Wednesday.
- 2021 road stats: 1-3 with an 8.02 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 2.02 WHIP and 1.4 BB/K rate through 11 starts.
LHP Sean Manaea makes his 22nd start for the A’s. He is 8-6 with a 3.01 ERA (122 2/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 this year.
- Last outing: Win, 10-4, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB and 9 K against the Padres Wednesday.
- 2021 home stats: 4-2 with a 3.34 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.25 WHIP and 5.4 K/BB rate across 11 starts.
Padres at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Padres +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Athletics -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Padres +1.5 (-150) | Athletics -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Prediction
Athletics 4, Padres 2
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the ATHLETICS (-180) for a half unit because Oakland’s lineup scores more runs per nine innings against left-handed pitching than San Diego’s and ranks higher in both wRC+ and wOBA against lefties. Also, Snell has been awful on the road this season and was roughed up by the A’s last week.
Snell has a 5.97 FIP, 6.7 K-BB% and .415 opponent wOBA on the road, compared to a 3.19 FIP, 20.5% K-BB% and .271 wOBA at home. Furthermore, Snell’s Fangraphs game scoreof 15 for his previous start against the A’s was his second-worst of the season.
On the other side, Manaea’s game score of 81 in his previous start against San Diego was his third-best of the season and his 1.25 xFIP was his best mark this year.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because I need better than Athletics -1.5 (+120) to bet against a San Diego team that has the fourth-best cover rate as a road underdog at 10-3 ATS and a share of the best cover rate in interleague play at 9-2 ATS.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+105) for a half unit.
Snell has bounced back nicely from terrible starts a couple of times earlier this year and both bullpens have been awesome since the All-Star break.
Oakland’s bullpen has the second-best FIP in the second half of the season and San Diego’s bullpen has the best xFIP and SIERA.
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