The San Diego Padres (9-7) and Los Angeles Dodgers (11-5) begin a four-game series Monday at Dodger Stadium with a 9:40 p.m. ET first pitch on ESPN+. We analyze the Padres-Dodgers’ betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Padres at Dodgers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Garrett Richards vs. RHP Dustin May
Richards heads into this one with an 0-1 record, 4.60 ERA and 1.21 WHIP across 15 2/3 innings with 16 strikeouts and two homers allowed over three outings.
- He faced the Dodgers in his most recent outing, allowing four earned runs, five hits and a walk in five innings in a 7-6 loss.
- Richards threw just 54 of his 89 pitches for strikes, including 13 first-pitch strikes to the 21 batters he faced.
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
May is 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 15 strikeouts across 13 2/3 innings over three outings.
- May picked up his first quality start last time out at Petco Park in San Diego, allowing two earned runs, three hits and a walk with eight strikeouts over six innings in a 5-2 win last Tuesday.
- The Dodgers are 3-0 in May’s three starts this season while posting 5.7 runs of support overall in games he has pitched.
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Padres at Dodgers: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Padres
- SS Jorge Mateo (illness) out
Dodgers
- SS Corey Seager (back) questionable
Padres at Dodgers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Dodgers 7, Padres 4
Moneyline (ML)
The DODGERS (-162) are a little pricy for my liking, as generally my limit is -170 on moneyline plays. Based on the trends in this series, however, I’ll take my chances.
LA has posted a 44-17 record in the previous 61 head-to-head meetings at Chavez Ravine, and they’re 41-17 in the past 58 meetings overall, including two of three last week in San Diego.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on Los Angeles returns a profit of just $6.20, while the Padres pulling the upset (+145) would fetch a profit of $14.50.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The DODGERS (-1.5, +125) are more attractive on the alternate run-line at plus-money, as they own the Padres (+1.5, -149). While San Diego has played pretty good baseball this season and is no pushover, Dodger Blue has dominated this series.
In addition, LA has won 10 of its 11 games this season by two or more runs. That includes May’s start, a 5-2 win, on Aug. 4 in San Diego.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 8.5 (-110) is worth a small-unit play. The Over is 4-1 in the past five road games for the Padres, and 14-6-3 in their past 23 series openers, too. The Over is 2-0-2 in the past four divisional games for the Dodgers, while going 5-2-1 in the past eight meetings overall in this series.
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