The San Diego Padres (19-14) head to the Colorado Rockies (16-15) on Friday for the first of a three-game series in Coors Field at 8:40 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Padres-Rockies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Rockies at Padres: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Zach Davies vs. LHP Kyle Freeland
Davies in 2020: 4-2 with a 3.03 ERA, .84 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in 35 2/3 IP over 6 starts.
- Last start: Win in 8 IP with 4 H, 2 ER, 7 K and 2 BB against the Houston Astros on Aug. 22.
- Career vs. Rockies: 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 15 K and 12 BB in 25 ⅔ IP over 5 starts.
Freeland in 2020: 2-1 with a 2.87 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 37 2/3 IP over 6 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in 6 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 6 K and 3 BB in a 4-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday.
- Career vs. Padres: 3-3 with a 3.60 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 41 K and 16 BB in 50 IP over 8 starts and 2 appearances.
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Rockies at Padres: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Padres
- OF Tommy Pham (hand) out
- RP Drew Pomeranz (shoulder) out
- RP Kirby Yates (elbow) out
Rockies
- OF David Dahl (back) out
- RP Wade Davis (shoulder) out
- SS Chris Owings (hamstring) out
- OF Raimel Tapia (elbow) questionable
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Rockies at Padres: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:51 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Padres 6, Rockies 2
Moneyline (ML)
The Padres (-106) dropped their last series against the Seattle Mariners two games to one, but they were on a seven-game win streak prior featuring two walk-offs and five grand slams in six games.
The Rockies (-106) swept the Arizona Diamondbacks in their previous series, breaking a seven-game losing streak in which two games Colorado lost by a walk-off.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is a favorite in the MVP race, and Manny Machado is red-hot, hitting .556 with 5 HR and 10 RBI in his last seven games.
Davies pitches better on the road than home and at night, and he has only allowed 4 ER in two career starts at Coors Field. He has good career numbers thus far against Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story. TAKE PADRES (-106).
New to sports betting? A $106 wager on Padres (-106) fetches a $100 profit if San Diego beats Colorado.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
I’ll say this for the Rockies +1.5 (-162): Freeland has looked good so far this season and has steady head-to-head stats against the Padres’ power hitters. Also, the listing for the Padres -1.5 (+135) doesn’t pay out enough to take their moneyline.
PASS ON THE MONEYLINE.
Over/Under (O/U)
There’s a couple of reasons to like the Over 11.5 (-110): The Over is 5-1 in these clubs’ last six meetings and 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Colorado. But I “LEAN” Under 11.5 (-110). The total is high, and I like this game to be more of a pitcher’s duel than a slugfest.
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