The Colorado Rockies (5-2) wrap up their weekend set against the NL West-rival San Diego Padres (6-3) Sunday at 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. We analyze the Padres-Rockies betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Padres at Rockies: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Zach Davies vs. RHP Antonio Senzatela
Davis: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (2 ER in 5 IP), 9 K/9
- Davis struck out five and walked none, while surrendering two earned runs in his Padres debut July 28 against the San Francisco Giants.
- Went 10-7 with 3.55 ERA across 31 starts and 159 2/3 innings for the Milwaukee Brewers last season.
Senzatela: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (2 ER in 5 IP), 5.4 K/9
- 11-11 in 2019 with a 6.71 ERA across 25 starts and 124 2/3 innings.
- Pitched to a 6.21 ERA at Coors Field last season vs. a 7.29 mark on the road.
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Padres at Rockies: Key injuries
Visit sportsdata.usatoday.com to track all MLB injuries leading up to game time.
Padres
- 1B Eric Hosmer (illness) out
- SS Jorge Mateo (COVID-19) out
- RP Jose Castillo (back) out
Rockies
- RP Scott Oberg (back) out
Padres at Rockies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Padres 8, Rockies 5
Moneyline (ML)
The Padres (-128) won the series opener 8-7 Friday but gave it right back to the Rockies (+115) Saturday, with Colorado winning by a convincing 6-1 margin.
San Diego has a large edge in Sunday’s pitching matchup. Davies was a staple of the Brewers’ rotation last season, and he has started his Padres tenure well. He allowed just one run over five innings in his lone career start at Coors Field to date.
Senzatela started the season well, but he still walked three batters in just five innings. The Padres rank third in baseball with a 12.5 BB% and have stolen six more bases than any other team (14). They can’t be given free passes.
Back the PADRES (-128) to win Sunday’s game and take the intradivisional series.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Padres to win would return a profit of $7.80.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Increase your profit margin by taking the PADRES -1.5 (+105) to win by at least two runs.
The Rockies (+1.5, -125) are a league-best 6-1 against the run line and cover by an average of 3.4 runs per game. San Diego is 6-3 on the RL. It wins by an average of 1.6 runs per game and covers by 0.4 runs.
Back the visitors due to the dramatic edge in the starting pitching matchup.
Over/Under (O/U)
As usual, the Coors Field contest comes with the highest projected run total of the day at 13.5. With Senzatela typically pitching at least a bit better in his hitter-friendly home park and Davies having a positive outing in Colorado on his resume, take the UNDER 13.5 (-110).
The first two games of the series – Colorado’s first at home this season – played to either side of Sunday’s line.
Esten’s 2020 MLB betting record: 10-7
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