The San Diego Padres (11-11) try to prevent a three-game sweep against the Arizona Diamondbacks (10-11) Sunday in Chase Field at 4:10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Padres-Diamondbacks betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Padres at Diamondbacks: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Garrett Richards vs. LHP Robbie Ray
Richards in 2020: 1-1 with a 3.74 ERA (19 K, 9 ER in 21 2/3 IP) over 4 starts.
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA (21 K, 5 ER in 25 IP) over 5 starts
- Richards pitched a five-inning no-decision against Arizona in the third game of 2020. He struck out six batters and allowed no runs in the Padres’ 4-3 loss the Diamondbacks.
Ray in 2020: 1-2 with a 10.59 ERA (23 K, 20 in 17 IP) over 4 starts.
- Career vs. Padres: 5-6 with a 4.40 ERA (130 K, 45 ER in 92 IP) over 17 starts
- Ray lost to San Diego in the second game of the season, 5-1. He pitched 3 ⅔ innings, striking out seven batters and giving up three earned runs
Get some action on this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!
Padres at Diamondbacks: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Padres
- CF Tommy Pham (calf) questionable
- LF Wil Myers (back) questionable
- RP Kirby Yates (elbow) out
Diamondbacks
- SP Madison Bumgarner (back) out
Padres at Diamondbacks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Padres 7, Diamondbacks 2
Moneyline (ML)
The Padres (-118) had a promising start to the season but are 4-6 in their last 10 games, including a four-game losing streak.
The Diamondbacks (+105) have looked better recently, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, and have won four out their last five games, which includes both games in this series and a 2-1 series win over the Colorado Rockies in their last series.
Ray has gotten shelled recently, giving up 17 earned runs in 13 ⅓ innings pitched over his last three starts. Also, Ray performs worse at home than on the road for his career. He has a 4.90 ERA and 1.48 WHIP at home compared to 3.66 ERA and 1.27 WHIP on the road.
BET the PADRES (-118) to bounce back against the Diamondbacks. New to sports betting? A $118 wager on Padres (-118) yields a $100 profit if San Diego beats Arizona.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Again, don’t hold my moneyline handicap against me, but I’ll AVOID A RUN LINE WAGER in Padres-Diamondbacks. San Diego has a 2-5 run line record as an away favorite, and the “backdoor cover” on a Padres run line is wide-open with Yates’ injury hurting the bullpen.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS ON THE TOTAL in Padres-Diamondbacks. The total is set at 9.5, and my handicap has it going a half-run Under, but I don’t feel strong enough about that to bet it.
Both bullpens are bad: Padres relievers have a 6.24 ERA, and Diamondbacks relievers have a 5.04 ERA. I do expect a good outing from Richards, but Arizona could mount a comeback once it reaches San Diego’s bullpen.
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