The Arizona Diamondbacks (8-11) open a three-game series at home against the San Diego Padres (11-9) Friday night at Chase Field. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET. We analyze the Diamondbacks-Padres betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Padres at Diamondbacks: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Dinelson Lamet vs. RHP Merrill Kelly
Lamet: 2-0, 1.61 ERA, 28 K
- Allowed only one run and struck out 11 Arizona batters in 6 2/3 innings in his last start.
- Lamet has taken a no-hitter into at least the fifth inning in each of his last two starts.
Kelly: 2-1, 2.29 ERA, 15 K
- Padres SS Fernando Tatis Jr. has homered three times in eight career at-bats against Kelly, including one in Kelly’s last start.
- Kelly has walked only one batter in 19 2/3 innings this season.
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Padres at Diamondbacks: Key injuries
Get the latest injury news here.
Diamondbacks
- RP Corbin Martin (elbow) out
Padres
- RP Kirby Yates (back) questionable
- RP Jose Castillo (back) out
Padres at Diamondbacks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Padres 4, Diamondbacks 2
Moneyline (ML)
The PADRES (-134) open the series as favorites Friday. Both teams have split their last 10 games but the Diamondbacks had no answer for Lamet when they faced him Sunday, getting just one hit, but they have scored at least five runs in each of their last five games.
That said, expect Lamet to quiet their bats. Take the PADRES (-134).
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Padres to win returns a profit of $7.46.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The PADRES -1 (-110) are favored on the run line. Since the line is only a single run, if they win, they cover. San Diego has covered more than 63% of their games this season and the Diamondbacks are only 8-11 ATS.
Since we like the Padres to win, the only logical bet here is to take them to cover the one run. PADRES -1 (-110). It’s a better value than the moneyline for the same result, but if they win by just a single run, the bet is a push and the investment is refunded.
Over/Under (O/U)
The total is set at 8.5 runs. The Diamondbacks are 9-10 O/U, only aided by their three games in Colorado this week. The Padres are 8-11 O/U. Both pitchers have been consistently good this season, so runs will come at a premium.
Take the UNDER 8.5 (-110).
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