The San Antonio Spurs (19-57) visit the Golden State Warriors (40-37) Friday. Tip from Chase Center is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
San Antonio fell 128-117 at home against Utah Wednesday, failing to cover as a 2-point underdog. The Spurs have lost 5 games in a row, are just 2-8 in their last 10 games and 3-7 against the spread (ATS) in that stretch. For the season, they are 30-46 ATS.
Golden State topped New Orleans 120-109 Tuesday to cover as an 8.5-point home favorite. The Warriors have won 4 of its last 5 games but 6-4 in the last 10. They are 5-5 ATS in those 10 and 36-39-2 ATS this season.
This will be the 3rd time these teams have faced each other this season with Golden State owning a 2-0 series lead. The Warriors won 132-95 to cover as 9-point home favorites in mid-November and won again 144-113 in mid-January to cover as 9-point road favorites.
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Spurs at Warriors odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:23 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Spurs +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400) | Warriors -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Spurs +18.5 (-118) | Warriors -18.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 242.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Spurs at Warriors key injuries
Spurs
- PF Zach Collins (foot) out
- SG Romeo Langford (adductor) questionable
- SF Doug McDermott (elbow) probable
- PF Jeremy Sochan (knee) out
Warriors
- SF Andrew Wiggins (personal) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Spurs at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 126, Spurs 107
Moneyline
PASS.
At -3000 odds on a Warriors team that is 31-8 at home facing a Spurs team that is 6-31 on the road, there is no value here.
Against the spread
PASS.
While the Warriors have the 3rd-ranked scoring offense at 118.2 points per game (PPG) and the Spurs are 30th on defense, allowing 122.6 PPG, this matchup has the potential for a Warriors blowout. The Warriors are also 26-12-1 ATS at home this season, while the Spurs are 11-26 ATS on the road, but a line of 18.5 points is just too high to make a confident bet on.
The Spurs’ poor defense combined with their troubled road history, including failing to cover in their last 3 road games while playing as double-digit underdogs, could point towards wagering half a unit on the WARRIORS -18.5 (-102).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 242.5 (-115).
As it stands, 242.5 would be the 2nd-highest closing line in the Spurs’ last 10 games and the 2nd-highest closing line in the Warriors’ last 10.
The Under is 5-0 in the Spurs’ last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record and 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against a team with a winning outright record.
For Golden State, the Under is 3-0-1 in its last 4 home games, 6-0-1 in its last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record, and 4-0 in its last 4 Friday games.
The Under is also 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these franchises and 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings at Golden State.
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