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The Denver Nuggets (19-13) welcome the San Antonio Spurs (17-16) to Ball Arena Friday. Tip is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Spurs vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Nuggets won 3-1 last season
The Spurs beat the LA Clippers 122-86 Tuesday as a 3.5-point home favorite behind C Victor Wembanyama‘s game-high 27 points. San Antonio has won just 2 of its last 5 games, but is 7-0 against the spread (ATS) since Dec. 19. The Spurs are 18-15 ATS on the season.
The Nuggets beat the Atlanta Hawks 139-120 Wednesday, closing as an 8.5-point home favorite. C Nikola Jokic‘s 23 points led 7 players scoring in double figures. The Nuggets have both won and covered in 3 straight games and are 14-17-1 ATS.
Spurs at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 7:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Spurs +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Nuggets -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +7.5 (-110) | Nuggets -7.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Spurs at Nuggets key injuries
Spurs
- F Jeremy Sochan (back) out
Nuggets
- F Aaron Gordon (calf) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Spurs at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 122, Spurs 118
Moneyline
PASS.
The Nuggets have won 3 straight games and 5 of their last 6 games at home. Avoid taking them to win outright at this expensive value.
Similarly, the Spurs have covered well, but not consistently won, so one should pass on them as a road underdog.
Against the spread
BET SPURS +7.5 (-110).
The Spurs have been a covering machine as of late, rewarding bettors in 7 straight games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 on the road and 6-2 ATS in their last 6 away games. San Antonio’s defense has been the key reason why, holding 3 of its last 6 opponents to 100 or fewer points.
The Nuggets have covered in 3 straight as well, but they are just 3-3 ATS in their last 6 and 7-8 ATS in their last 15. Denver has allowed at least 120 points in 4 straight games. Considering those trends, play SPURS +7 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 236.5 (-110).
The Nuggets have topped the total in 4 straight games, scoring at least 132 points in all 4. They have been on fire offensively, totaling at least 120 points in 8 of their last 10 contests. Denver is 21-10-1 O/U.
The Spurs are 3-2 O/U in their last 5 games and have scored at least 114 points in 4 of their last 7. San Antonio is 18-15 O/U on the season, so both teams have trended toward the Over this season.
Take OVER 236.5 (-110).
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