The Dallas Mavericks (19-10) host the San Antonio Spurs (12-17) Thursday at American Airlines Center for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Spurs-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Spurs at Mavericks: Key injuries
Mavericks
- SF Luka Doncic (ankle) questionable
Spurs at Mavericks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Mavericks 121, Spurs 111
Moneyline (ML)
Doncic, a leading 2019-20 MVP candidate, has a chance to return to the lineup for the first time since Dec. 14. His availability being made official would certainly drop the odds for the MAVERICKS (-278). This is a very chalky play with a $10 bet on Dallas winning outright returning a profit of only $3.60, but it’s a safe play for the home side with those odds being much lower if Doncic plays.
The Mavs are coming off a 30-point collapse in a 110-107 road loss to the Toronto Raptors Sunday, but they’re still 6-4 over their last 10 games and are 8-7 on home court. The Spurs beat the Memphis Grizzlies 145-115 Monday. They’re also 6-4 over their last 10 games but are just 4-9 on the road.
The Mavs will win, but the spread is a more profitable play.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Back the MAVERICKS (-5.5, -129) to win by at least 6 points. Dallas is 17-12 against the spread overall but oddly just 6-9 at home; however, the Spurs are only 9-19 overall and 5-7 on the road. Each of the Mavs’ last 12 wins before the injury to Doncic was by a margin of at least 6 points. The Mavs beat the Spurs 117-110 in their lone meeting Nov. 18.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the OVER 224.5 (+105) with Doncic’s expected return boosting the Mavericks’ offensive output. The two teams fell just shy of this number in their first meeting of the year, but they’re much more in sync deeper into the season. PF Kristaps Porzingis and SG Tim Hardaway Jr. have stepped up for Dallas in the absence of its MVP, and they should continue to score as he’s incorporated back into the offense.
Esten’s NBA betting record: 116-77
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