The San Antonio Spurs (20-34) stop by the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse Wednesday to play the Cleveland Cavaliers (33-21). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Spurs at Cavaliers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
San Antonio snapped a 3-game skid Friday after hammering the Rockets 131-106, easily covering as an 8-point home favorite. Over the past two weeks, the Spurs are 2-4 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS).
Cleveland is on a 2-game winning streak following victories over the Pacers (98-85 Sunday) and at the Hornets (102-101 Friday). The Cavs are 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS in the last 14 days.
The Cavs beat the Spurs 114-109 in San Antonio Jan. 14, covering as 3-point road favorites with Over cashing for the fifth consecutive Spurs-Cavaliers meeting.
Spurs at Cavaliers odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:51 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Spurs +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Cavaliers -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +5.5 (-108) | Cavaliers -5.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Spurs at Cavaliers key injuries
Spurs
- SG Lonnie Walker IV (knee) questionable
Cavaliers
- PG Darius Garland (back) questionable
- PF Lauri Markkanen (ankle) out
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Spurs at Cavaliers odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Cavaliers 107, Spurs 103
Money line
PASS.
I only “lean” toward San Antonio getting points and don’t like it enough to sprinkle on the Spurs (+190).
The Cavaliers are 14-2 SU as home favorites and the Spurs are 9-27 SU as underdogs, so it’d be too big of a gamble to take the underdog in this spot.
Against the spread
LEAN to the SPURS +5.5 (-108) for a quarter-unit.
There’s not a ton of basketball logic behind this pick and my favorite bet in this game is the Under. Also, NBA favorites are 25-3-1 ATS in the last four days, according to David Purdum of ESPN.
However, the first Spurs-Cavaliers meeting was a seesaw battle that had eight lead changes and the two sides each won two quarters.
In fact, Cleveland needed to outscore San Antonio by 7 points in the fourth quarter just to cover last time.
Furthermore, the Cavs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as favorites and the Spurs are 12-8 ATS road underdogs.
Again, it’s only a “LEAN” to the SPURS +5.5 (-108) since the Cavs are a far better team and should pound San Antonio.
Over/Under
The UNDER 215.5 (-107) is my favorite play here for various reasons.
First of all, two of the three referees assigned to this game officiate more Unders and the officiating crew has a combined 45-62 O/U record (58% to the Under).
On top of that, neither team gets to the foul line often and both teams do a good job keeping opponents off the foul line. Cleveland is 16th in offensive FT/FGA rate and third in defensive while San Antonio is dead-last in offensive FT/FGA rate and fifth in defensive.
Also, the Spurs are 6-13-1 O/U as road underdogs (minus-4.2 total margin) and 11-14 O/U versus teams above-.500. The Cavs are 3-12-1 O/U as home favorites (minus-6.8 total margin) and 9-15 O/U versus teams below-.500.
Finally, the Spurs-Cavaliers total has been steamed down from the 219-point opener by presumably sharp money.
BET the UNDER 215.5 (-107) for 1 unit.
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