The Atlanta Hawks (11-13) host the San Antonio Spurs (14-11) Friday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off at State Farm Arena. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Hawks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
San Antonio split a two-game miniseries with the Golden State Warriors after losing 114-91 as a 1.5-point road favorite Tuesday. The loss snapped a three-game win streak for the Spurs who are 3-3 straight up and 2-4 against the spread over their last six games.
The Hawks lost a 118-117 nail-biter at the Dallas Mavericks Wednesday and have dropped four of their last five games. Over those five games, Atlanta is tied for the sixth-highest turnover rate and is 23rd by net rating.
Atlanta won both meetings last season and has covered the spread in three of the last four games against San Antonio. Hawks PG Trae Young was fantastic in both games, as he averaged 30.0 points per game on 51.3% field-goal shooting with 11.0 assists in those meetings.
Spurs at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Spurs +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Hawks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +2.5 (-115) | Hawks -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Spurs at Hawks: Key injuries
Spurs
- C LaMarcus Aldridge (hip) out
Hawks
- SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
- PG Rajon Rondo (back) out
- SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
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Spurs at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Spurs 114, Hawks 107
Money line (ML)
The Spurs should fare better in this meeting with the Hawks than their two games last season since they’ve improved by leaps and bounds defensively year over year.
San Antonio was 25th in defensive rating last year but, ranks 10th this season, while being fourth in defensive rebounding percentage and second in FTA/FGA rate.
Spurs PG Dejounte Murray‘s maturation and defensive prowess is a big reason for said improvement. Murray is 15th in steal percentage and 20th in defensive win shares and is the best defensive rated starter on a San Antonio team ninth in defense efficiency.
Murray got lit up by Young last season but with sneaky good defensive bigs protecting the rim behind them the backcourt can extend its perimeter defense while keeping Atlanta’s ballhandlers—Young especially—off the foul line.
I lean SPURS (+110) because San Antonio plus the points is a better play and we should be getting around +125 for the underdog.
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Against the spread (ATS)
BET SPURS +2.5 (-115) heavier or instead of the money line.
Spurs SG DeMar DeRozan has played well vs. the Hawks recently. DeRozan has scored at least 22 points in four of his last five games on 54.9% shooting against the Hawks and the absence of Hunter should make this visit to Atlanta easier.
I like DeRozan to ice this game down the stretch.
Over/Under (O/U)
It’s a little too obvious so this is only a lean but I’d TAKE the UNDER 225.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit.
There’s a mountain of Under trends to support that bet plus the market is hammering the Under, which has steamed the total down a couple of points from the opening line.
I prefer taking San Antonio to cover and/or win rather than the Under.
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Also see:
- Lakers NBA All-Star history: Ranking the all-time Lakers with the most All-Star selections (LeBron Wire)
- Hoops Hype rumors: Spurs | Hawks
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