Saint Joseph’s at Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Saint Joseph’s at Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Saint Joseph’s Hawks (6-7, 0-1 Atlantic-10) and Dayton Flyers (10-5, 2-0) clash Wednesday at UD Arena with opening tip at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Saint Joseph’s vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Saint Joseph’s is coming off a stretch of 5 straight games at home. The Hawks are playing their 1st road game since Dec. 6. On Saturday as a +7, they lost to Saint Louis 83-78. SJU has won 5 in a row against the spread (ATS).

The Flyers also played on Saturday, beating Davidson 69-55 and covering a 4-point spread. A staunch UD defense held an opponent under 40% from the floor (36.8%) for a 10th time this season, and F DaRon Holmes II tallied 32 points in the road triumph.

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Saint Joseph’s at Dayton odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: St. Joseph’s +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Dayton -1200 (bet $1200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Saint Joseph’s +14.5 (-115) | Dayton -14.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Saint Joseph’s at Dayton picks and predictions

Prediction

Dayton 72, Saint Joseph’s 58

Moneyline

PASS. Nothing to see here.

Against the spread

PASS.

Dayton is a clear favorite here, but there is no value in going over 12.5 points. There isn’t enough coming back the other way either (would want 16-plus), so let’s investigate the O/U action.

Over/Under

This game features fast-paced SJU against turtle-tempo UD. And even with Dayton’s well-known pace, the Under has thus far gone 9-6 in Flyers games.

When St. Joe’s plays slower teams, the Under has prevailed. Dayton often has loose handles on the ball for a quality team, so there is the threat of some transition triples building up for the visitors. But UD has a top-10 perimeter defense  — allowing a mere 26.9% accuracy mark — and the Hawks playing a road game for the 1st time in weeks could create some struggles in that area.

BACK THE UNDER 133.5 (-110).

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