The Sacramento Kings (29-39) face the Brooklyn Nets (32-36) Friday at 5:00 p.m. ET in the NBA’s Orlando bubble. We analyze the Kings-Nets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Kings vs. Nets: Key injuries
Kings
- PF Marvin Bagley III (foot) out
Nets
- C Jarrett Allen (ankle) questionable
- SG Joe Harris (groin) questionable
- SG Jamal Crawford (hamstring) out
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Kings vs. Nets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Kings 130, Nets 122
Moneyline (ML)
The Kings (-223) clobbered the New Orleans Pelicans, 140-125, in their last game out. It was Sacramento’s first win of the restart (out of four games) and hopes of a playoff berth are fleeting. To the Kings’ credit, they’ve played hard in every game and have not mailed in the season.
Brooklyn’s injury report above looks a little light, but that’s because the Kyrie and KD’s were omitted.
The Nets (+180) have pretty much mailed in the season but somehow are 2-2 in the restart. They shocked bettors by upsetting the 18.5-point favorite Milwaukee Bucks, 119-116, on Tuesday. Brooklyn got blistered in their next game, 149-115, by the Boston Celtics.
I “love” Sacramento in this game but, as a rule, I do not bet -150 or higher favorites in regular-season basketball. Especially on a team as inconsistent as the Kings. PASS ON THE MONEYLINE.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The Kings -5 (-110) are 4-12 against the spread in the last 16 meetings, but it’s hard to take a lot from recent trends between these two sides because the Nets +5 (-110) are playing backups and G-League players. For what it’s worth, The Kings are 7-2-1 ATS on the second game of a back-to-back.
The Nets won the first meeting back in November, 116-97. Brooklyn’s Joe Harris and G Spencer Dinwiddie combined for 45 points, and the Kings were without PG De’Aaron Fox (its leader in scoring and assists) and SF Bogdan Bogdanović (their second-leading scorer).
If the Kings can continue their hot shooting from Thursday’s win against the Pelicans, they should roll an injury-riddled Nets team. BET KINGS -5 (-110).
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Kings -5 (-110) yields a $9.09 profit if Sacramento beats Brooklyn by six or more points.
Over/Under (O/U)
The total of 232.5 seems a little low, and that has me nervous. Both teams’ defense has been abysmal in the restart. Brooklyn has allowed 503 points in its last four games (most in the bubble) and Sacramento has allowed 500 points in its last four games (second-most in the bubble).
Also, and this is just a hunch, I feel like there are more fouls being called during these crowdless games. Maybe it’s because refs can hear a lot more contact with no audience? With that being said, the refs assigned to this game have a 77-68 Over/Under record, and Kings’ opponents have gone to the charity stripe more than anyone else in the restart.
BET OVER 232.5 (-110).
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