The Portland Trail Blazers (20-14) host the Sacramento Kings (14-21) Thursday at Moda Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Kings-Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Kings at Trail Blazers: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Kings +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Trail Blazers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Kings +4.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Kings at Trail Blazers: Key injuries
Kings
- SG Tyrese Haliburton (calf) out
- C Hassan Whiteside (health and safety protocols) out
Trail Blazers
- SG C.J. McCollum (foot) out
- PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
- C Jusuf Nurkic (wrist) out
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Kings at Trail Blazers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Trail Blazers 126, Kings, 117
Money line (ML)
PASS on the money line since Portland should win but the Trail Blazer’ -190 price-point is too rich for an NBA regular-season money line favorite.
Pending final injury reports, I wouldn’t hate putting the Trail Blazers’ money line in a parlay with the Denver Nuggets for a plus-money payout, straight up? PASS.
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Against the spread (ATS)
According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Trail Blazers abuse bad defenses: Portland has a 9-2 record with a plus-5.1 spread differential in games against teams in the bottom-10 in defensive efficiency.
The Trail Blazers perform even better in games with no rest and are 3-0 with a plus-11.8 spread differential vs. bottom-10 defenses in the second half of a back-to-back.
Conversely, the Kings are 1-4 overall with a minus-6.2 spread differential in games with no rest against teams ranked in the top 10 of offensive efficiency.
Finally, despite Sacramento eking out a win last night against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Kings are still 2-5 ATS against division opponents with the NBA’s worst ATS margin in that spot at minus-9.8.
Unless the Trail Blazers have already gone on their All-Star break, Portland should roll a Sacramento team that could be flipping into tank mode shortly. BET the TRAIL BLAZERS -4.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
I said this yesterday, and it cashed, but the market cannot adjust to how terrible Sacramento’s defense is.
Yet another Kings game went Over last night and Sacramento couldn’t stop a Lakers team without LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Somehow the Kings have only the second-highest percentage of Overs in the Association, but 10 of their last 11 games have gone Over the total.
Also, the assigned officiating crew loves high-scoring games apparently because they have a combined 41-23 O/U record this season.
TAKE OVER 237.5 (-110) for 1 unit only because nearly 90% of the market is backing the Over, according to Pregame.com, and we all know 90% of bettors don’t beat the House very often.
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Also see:
- Bet Slippin’ Podcast: J.J. Watt joins the Cardinals and the case for Julius Randle as MIP
- Hoops Hype rumors: Kings | Trail Blazers
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