The Sacramento Kings (19-34) visit Chase Center Thursday to take on the Golden State Warriors (39-13). Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
After going 6-1 on a 7-game homestand, the Warriors took to the road and added two more wins to their resume. They covered the spread in both of those road victories, once as 9.5-point favorites (122-108 win at Houston Monday) and the other as 6.5-point underdogs (124-120 at San Antonio Tuesday).
Golden State’s 39-13 record is the second-best mark in the NBA, only trailing Phoenix (41-9). The Warriors’ 24-4 home record is the best in the league. As for covering, the Dubs are 29-20-3 against the spread (ATS).
The Warriors won 113-98 at home the last time these two teams met (Dec. 20), covering a -13.5 spread with PF Draymond Green recording a triple-double (16 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists), but he is out for this contest. The Kings will also be missing a key player in leading scorer PG De’Aaron Fox (21.0 points per game), who also sat out that December game.
The Kings are on the second night of a back-to-back Thursday. They beat the Nets 112-101 as 5-point home underdogs Wednesday, snapping a 7-game losing streak. The Kings are 23-30 ATS this season.
Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA February 3 breakdown
Kings at Warriors odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:33 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Kings +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Warriors -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Kings +13.5 (-105) | Warriors -13.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Kings at Warriors key injuries
Kings (not yet submitted; below is projected)
- PF Marvin Bagley III (ankle) questionable
- PG De’Aaron Fox (ankle) out
Warriors
- PF Nemanja Bjelica (back) out
- PF Draymond Green (back) out
- F Andre Iguodala (hip) out
- SF Otto Porter Jr. (back) questionable
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Kings at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 114, Kings 107
Money line
PASS. At +750, the Kings are tempting due to the Warriors’ lack of size (2 of their 3 centers and potentially 3 of their power forwards are out).
However, considering how dominant the Warriors have been at home, I’d rather take the points with the spread below and hope for a close battle.
Against the spread
LEAN to the KINGS +13.5 (-105).
The Warriors’ frontcourt is banged up heavily right now. While Golden State did manage to beat the Spurs without many key players, they’ll be taking on a young, energetic Kings team that is starting two premier defenders.
Rookie PG Davion Mitchell scored 18 in 35 minutes against the Nets Wednesday. He should get all the minutes he can handle, and the same can be said of PG Tyrese Haliburton.
The Warriors have been so good at home good this season, and that’s priced into this action.
With a backdoor cover completely possible given the shooting of Kings star SG Buddy Hield, who comes off the bench, Sacramento is the better play here.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 224.5 (-107).
The Warriors have the best-rated defense in the NBA, and it only gets better at home. The Warriors are 5-5 O/U over their last 10 games and 20-31-1 O/U this season.
The Kings, who usually have O/U lines set relatively high, are 24-28-1 O/U. At home, Golden State’s O/U is 9-17-2. Considering that, I’d take fewer points in this battle.
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