The Sacramento Kings (48-31) are on the road for the 2nd night in a row when they take on the Dallas Mavericks (37-42). Tip-off Wednesday at American Airlines Center is at 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Visitors nickname vs. Home nickname odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Kings clinched the Pacific Division title on Tuesday with their 121-103 road win over the New Orleans Pelicans as 4-point underdogs. They are the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference, trailing the 2nd-place Memphis Grizzlies by 2 games with 3 games to go.
The Mavericks are 11th in the West, half a game behind the Oklahoma City Thunder for the final play-in spot. They have lost 3 straight games and 7 of their last 8. They lost 132-130 in overtime Sunday at the Atlanta Hawks, although they did cover the 3.5-point spread.
The season series is tied 1-1.
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Kings at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kings +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Mavericks -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kings +5.5 (-115) | Mavericks -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 243.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Kings at Mavericks key injuries
Kings
- G Matthew Dellavedova (finger) out
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (thigh) probable
- G Kyrie Irving (foot) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Kings at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Kings 124, Mavericks 118
Moneyline
The Kings are 25-14 on the road this season and have won 10 of their last 11 road games. The Mavericks have struggled recently overall, losing 7 of 8 games. They have lost 3 straight at home and 6 of their last 8 there.
While the Mavericks are in the more desperate position, the Kings are playing too well. I love the upset here.
BET KINGS (+185).
Against the spread
The Kings are actually 7-1 ATS in their last 8 riad games against teams with a winning home record. The Mavs are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against opponents with a road winning percentage higher than .600 like the Kings. They are also 1-6-1 ATS following an ATS win.
The Kings are a good bet here but since we like them to win outright, you have to go with the moneyline for the potential payout.
PASS.
Over/Under
The teams have split 2 games this season with the totals of 236 and 261 (an overtime game). Two of the Kings’ last 3 games had totals higher than Wednesday’s projection, but the Under is 5-1 in their last 6 Wednesday games.
The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 games for the Mavericks following an ATS win. Their last 2 games have had totals higher than Wednesday’s projection, but those are the only 2 in their last 6.
BET UNDER 243.5 (-110).
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