Our resident handicapper knew the Washington Commanders were better than the +11 line against the Philadelphia Eagles suggested in Week 10. Maybe not “win by double-digits” better, as turned out to be the final margin, but his unwavering belief in Taylor Heinicke paid off.
That capped a 2-2 week where his late addition of Tennessee Titans -1 first quarter wound up costing him a profitable Sunday. That’s unacceptable for our guy, so he’s getting back to his roots in hopes of replicating the truly absurd hot streak that carried him through the 2022 NCAA Tournament up something like 70 units.
I was slapped in the face over the weekend by the same, obvious and simple facts of sports betting over and over again. Even my boy Christian D’Andrea asked me when I ran one of my potential NCAA picks by him on Saturday afternoon “you’re laying points on the road???” [Ed. note: This happened. It was an Iowa State bet. It did not end well]
Good handicapping takes discipline. I have released three picks that go against my system this year: 0 for 3. Laying points on the road (one outright loss and one non-cover) and playing a divisional game to go over the Las Vegas total. Good handicapping is also about learning from the mistakes that you make throughout the season. No more overs in the NFL and I will NOT be laying points on the road moving forward. After a break-even week, it’s time to make some money.
There are three plays that fit a very solid Scumbag System ™ and one from a respected handicapper who I trust. The first system has been put into play and won some units for us this year already. Teams must meet the following criteria to qualify; home underdog, coming off of a road game where they were underdogs and won outright. There are three teams that fit that system this week. I believe there have only been three or four times we’ve had that kind of selection all year.
Alright, we’re getting back to basics. Let’s see this week’s plays.
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