PSG heads to the Santiago Bernabéu on Wednesday for the second leg of a UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchup with Real Madrid. Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Real Madrid vs. PSG odds and lines, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
PSG was among the favorites to win the Champions League at the start of the competition, but it faced a challenge getting through Real Madrid’s defense in winning 1-0 at home in the first leg of the two-leg Round of 16 matchup.
Led by a trio of attacking forwards (F Lionel Messi, F Kylian Mbappe, and F Neymar), PSG currently sits atop Ligue 1, first in the standings by 13 points.
It finished second in Group A with 3 wins, 2 draws and a loss, a group featuring Manchester City. PSG totaled 21 shots and 8 on target in the first meeting of these two sides.
As for Real Madrid, it managed just 3 shots and none on target. It does currently sit atop La Liga and easily won Group D. In 27 La Liga matchups, Real has allowed just 21 goals. Its strength is in its backline.
Real Madrid vs. PSG: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Real Madrid +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | PSG +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Draw +265
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +135)
[tipico]
Prediction
Real Madrid 1, PSG 1
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the DRAW +265.
Real should be motivated by being down 1-0. Also, at home, its offense should be able to come to life. Real has yet to lose at home in La Liga competition.
At the same time, PSG is the better club and is far too talented up top and also in the midfield to be eliminated in the first knockout round. PSG will be without D Sergio Ramos and, per whoscored.com, have Mbappe listed as doubtful. Those would heavily impact this game.
Real will be short-handed in the midfield, down M Toni Kroos, but F Karim Benzema who has 5 Champions League goals is healthy and should be a key threat.
Given these injuries, these teams, especially considering Real’s home-field advantage, seem well-matched, and I like them to finish even.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET on the UNDER 2.5 (+135).
Real Madrid has allowed 21 goals in 27 leagues matches and 4 Champions League goals in 7 matches.
This team is elite defensively, and although it allowed 8 shots on goal in the first matchup, it has proven to be much better at home and should feel the desperation.
As for PSG, it’ll likely be without Mbappe. With Neymar, who has played all 90 just once this calendar year, still getting into form following ankle ligament damage, PSG may struggle this time around.
PSG allowed just 8 goals in its 6 Champions League matches and didn’t allow Real a single shot on goal in the first matchup. The Under, especially at this value, is the only way to play the total.
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