Real Madrid welcomes Liverpool to the Santiago Bernabeu in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League Round of 16. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Real Madrid vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Real Madrid beat Liverpool 5-2 on Feb. 21 in the 1st leg at Anfield. They did have fewer expected goals though, 1.6 vs. 1.8.
Real Madrid is coming off a 3-1 home win over Espanyol and sits 2nd in La Liga. They are unbeaten in 12 matches at home, posting 8 wins and 4 draws. Real averages 2 goals per game and has allowed .76 in league play. They were 4-1-1 in the Champions League group stage.
Liverpool posted 5 wins and a loss in the group stage, but had a worse goal differential than Napoli. Liverpool has a steep hole to climb out of, and they’ll have to do it with just a 3-7-3 road record, having tallied just 12 points in 13 away EPL matches. Liverpool is led by star F Mohamed Salah, who has 11 goals in 26 starts.
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Real Madrid vs Liverpool odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:58 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Real Madrid +127 (bet $100 to win $127) | Liverpool +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Draw +285
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +140 | U: -160)
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Real Madrid vs Liverpool picks and predictions
Prediction
Real Madrid 1, Liverpool 1
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN DRAW (+285).
Real Madrid should be coasting for some of this game and just looking to possess and defend. Liverpool has a dynamic attack, but it had just 1.8 expected goals in the 1st matchup.
Real Madrid, despite having 5 goals, had just 1.6 expected goals. It was a closer game than the final tally indicated. Real Madrid will be down D David Alaba as well, so its backline could be weaker than usual.
For the value and considering how close this battle was last game, lean to the DRAW (+285).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN ALTERNATE UNDER 2.5 (+150).
Considering how the last game between these clubs went, bettors should expect goals, but the strength for both teams is still in their backline.
Real Madrid allows .76 goals per game in league play. In a more competitive EPL, Liverpool is still only allowing 1.12 goals per game. Both teams gave up 6 goals in 6 games in group stage play.
This game should be at a slower pace with the more talented Real side looking to control the pace in order to advance. Ultimately, take the UNDER 2.5 (+150) but only a lean here given the value and odds.
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