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Real Madrid welcomes Bayern Munich to Santiago Bernabéu Wednesday for the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League semifinal. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Madrid, which sits atop La Liga, the top league in Spain, drew Bayern Munich 2-2 on the road April 30 to open up the 2-match series. Madrid ended with 0.3 more expected goals and 10 shots, 4 of which were on frame. F Vinicius Junior scored both Madrid goals — each team scored one from the penalty spot. Real Madrid has drawn 4 straight Champions League games, beating Man City 4-3 in penalty kicks in the quarterfinals.
Bayern Munich, which is 2nd in the Bundesliga, ended with 52% possession and 14 shots, 5 of which ended on frame, in the 1st-leg draw vs Real Madrid. Bayern has been led this season by F Harry Kane, who took its penalty kick in the 57th-minute. F Leroy Sane scored the other goals in the opening leg. Bayern beat Arsenal a combined 3-2 in the quarterfinals and took down Lazio 3-1 in the Round of 16.
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Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:48 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Real Madrid -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bayern Munich +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Draw +270
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +140 | U: -172)
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Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions
Prediction
Real Madrid 2, Bayern Munich 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET REAL MADRID (-110).
Real Madrid has been absolutely incredible at home in league play, posting a 15-0-2 record in La Liga. Madrid was 3-0-0 at home in the group stage and drew their Round of 16 and quarterfinal home matches, the latter of which was against the best team in England (Man City).
While Bayern has dominated Germany the last few years, it is just 9-2-5 on the road in the Bundesliga and lost at Lazio 1-0 in a Round of 16 leg. Bayern is an older side with their top 3 players in terms of minutes in the Champions League all 28 or over. Late in the season, those tired legs could play a factor.
Considering the trends for both teams, take REAL MADRID (-110).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN UNDER 3.5 (-172).
While the first-leg result was a 4-goal match, there wasn’t as many shots on frame as one would expect. The teams combined for 9 shots on frame. Had there not been 2 penalty kicks, the opportunity would’ve been heavily limited.
As for the Bayern defense, it has allowed 1.0 or fewer expected goals in 3 of its last 4 Champions League games. Madrid, which allows just 0.67 per game in La Liga competition, has allowed more than 1.4 expected goals in just 4 of 11 Champions League games.
With the stakes high for this one, expect the defenses to step up. This is almost unplayable at the valuation, so for a small unit, take UNDER 3.5 (-172).
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