The conditional pick the Raiders will receive from the Jets in exchange for Davante Adams will land in a fairly wide range. Let’s explore the possibilities for that pick. From what it could potentially be — the best case scenario — and what it is guaranteed to be at least — the worst case scenario.
The conditions for moving the pick from a round three pick to a round two pick are either the Jets play in the conference championship game or Adams makes at least second team All Pro.
So, let start with the best case scenario and work our way up from there.
1. Best case
Round 2, pick 33
This is the highest possible pick the Raiders could get from this trade. A much less likely scenario, but not impossible. It would require Davante Adams be named second team All Pro, but the Jets still be terrible. Literally the worst record in the NFL bad.
2. Next best case
Round 2 picks 34-50
Davante Adams gets at least second team All Pro and the Jets fail to make the playoffs.
3. Worst best case
Round 2, pick 64
This would mean the Raiders get their Round two pick, but because the Jets win the Super Bowl, which would make it the lowest possible Round two pick.
4. Best worst case
Round 3 pick 65-82
This is basically the status quo here. In other words, Davante doesn’t make All Pro and the Jets don’t make the playoffs. The more wins the Jets get, the lower this pick will be.
5. Worst case
Round 3, pick 92
This is the lowest possible pick the Raiders could get. It would require a couple of things to happen, both of which are very possible. 1. The Jets make it to the Divisional round and lose. 2. Davante Adams is not named first or second team All Pro.