On Wednesday afternoon, Nice (8 wins, 4 losses, 3 draws) travels to Parc des Princes to take on PSG (13-1-1). The game is scheduled to kickoff at 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the PSG vs Nice odds and lines, and make our best Ligue 1 bets, picks and predictions.
With superstar F Neymar expected to miss several months, the league-leading PSG will rely more heavily on Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe. With 35 goals in 15 matches, PSG’s attack has been unstoppable.
They’ve allowed 15 as well. As for Nice, they sit in third on the table. Their strength is also in their scoring as they have netted 25 goals in 15 games giving up just 12.
Nice is coming in with a 14% win probability. On the road, they’ll be heavy underdogs. They were defeated by Metz, 19th on the table, this past weekend.
PSG vs Nice: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line: PSG -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Nice +570 (bet $570 to win $100) | Draw +420
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -145)
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Prediction
PSG 1, Nice 1
Money line (ML)
PASS on the money line with a slight lean to DRAW at +420.
I like the draw for one reason only – PSG’s injuries. Julian Draxler, Neymar, Lionel Messi, Marco Verratti and Georginio Wijanldum are all either out or doubtful. That’s just too much talent sitting on the side.
Without arguably the team’s top two strikers and many key midfielders while facing a top-three Ligue 1 side, I expect PSG to struggle to break down a consistently solid Nice backline.
PSG also isn’t playing their best soccer as of late. They were down 1-0 before a 45th-minute red card this past weekend. They won 3-1. They also lost their midweek UCL match to Man City.
If there’s a play here, it’s the draw. I’d stay away from the Nice money line, and the PSG money line is a decent value, just has obvious downside with their injuries.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the ALTERNATE LINE UNDER 2.5 (+165) as three of Nice’s last five games have been under this total.
While PSG typically has a more attack-heavy mindset, we’ve noted the players that won’t be active, and that’s going to be detrimental to their ability to possess.
PSG hasn’t scored in two matchups against top-four Ligue 1 opponents. They lost one of those matches. Given that note, I wouldn’t trust their offense to be at the same level it has been for most of the season.
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