PSG welcomes Borussia Dortmund to Parc des Princes Tuesday. Kickoff in the 1st Group F match for both clubs is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
PSG is off to a 2-2-1 start (2 draws) through 5 matches in Ligue 1, the top French league. It has scored 10 goals and allowed 6 in the 5 matches and has gone 2-0-1 at home. The PSG offense has been a 1-man show as F Kylian Mbappe, who had offers to leave the club this offseason, has 7 of the team’s 10 goals. PSG lost 0-3 aggregate to Bayern Munich after advancing past the Champions Leagues group stage last season.
Borussia Dortmund is 2-2-0 through 4 matches and sits 7th in the Bundesliga, the top German league. It has scored 8 goals and allowed 5 in the 4 matches. They are led by 24-year-old Netherlands F Donnell Males, who has 3 goals in 4 matches. Dortmund, which is 1-1-0 on the road this season, also advanced out of the group stage last season but lost 1-2 aggregate to Chelsea in the Round of 16.
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PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: PSG -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Borussia Dortmund +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Draw +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)
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PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund picks and predictions
Prediction
PSG 2, Borussia Dortmund 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET PSG (-130).
Dortmund struggled on the road in the Champions League last season. They lost 2-0 in the Round of 16 to Chelsea and 2-1 to Manchester City, the best team in their group stage draw. Dortmund hasn’t played a team of PSG’s caliber yet, having yet to take on Bayern Munich or even Union Berlin.
While PSG has struggled, Mbappe should be active and has ample Champions League experience. PSG has had 2 or more expected goals in 2 of 5 matches and more expected goals than its opponent in 4 of 5 matches. It doesn’t have the results to show for it, but the high-end talent is there. Expect PSG to come out on top at home.
At this value, back PSG (-130).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN UNDER 3.5 (-160).
Dortmund has gone Over this total in 2 of 4 league matches. PSG has gone Over it in 3 of 5. However, this will be the best defense either side has faced so far this season, and without the 2 sides having much experience against each other, the different styles could cause the defense to have more success.
PSG went Under this total in 6 of 8 Champions League games last season. Dortmund went Under it in 7 of 8. The value isn’t great, but it is the far safer side. Take UNDER 3.5 (-160).
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